Shivajinagar reports 24mm rain, Lohegaon records 36.6mm : IMD
Shivajinagar on Saturday reported 24 millimetre rainfall and Lohegaon reported 36.6 mm rainfall. It was the second highest rainfall in 24 hours since 2010, the highest was in 2015 at 102.8 mm rainfall as per IMD.on Saturday.
The maximum day temperature of 35.3 degrees Celsius and 24.2 degrees Celsius at night. Meteorologists now believe that Maharashtra may witness the onset of monsoon by mid-June.
Pune until May 31 will experience light rainfall and cloudy skies towards the afternoon, said IMD officials. They added that since this is a pre-monsoon shower, rainfall will be accompanied with thunderstorm and lightning.
As the monsoon onset is likely in Kerala on May 31, the wait for monsoon over Maharashtra is likely to continue till mid-June, said a meteorologist from the India Meteorological Department (IMD).
As per the IMD, first stage Long Range Forecast (LRF), the onset of Southwest Monsoon is likely on May 31. Conditions for further advancement of Monsoon are favourable.
OP Sreejith, scientist and head, Climate Monitoring and Prediction Group (CMPG) at IMD Pune said as of now the monsoon progress is as per predictions made by the IMD.
“In the first week of June, there are chances of cyclogenesis which will help the southwest monsoon advance. Previous cyclones did not affect the monsoon flow. Now the circulation will be stronger. In the next few days, there will be a cyclonic circulation over the southern hemisphere. So the monsoon may not be active these days. After this monsoon will regain strength,” said Sreejith.
He said that the side over Bay of Bengal will strengthen in the first week of June, helping the monsoon advance.
“Models are showing another cyclone circulation is likely over Bay of Bengal which will help the monsoon advance. At present, the IMD has forecasted the onset of monsoon until May 31 over Kerala. For Maharashtra, the onset is likely till Mid-June. The second LRF will be issued soon by IMD giving details about the rainfall scenario in June,” said Sreejith.
He added that at present the depth of westerly has increased. So conditions are favourable for the monsoon advancement.
Anupam Kashyapi, head of weather forecasting department at IMD Pune said that Arabian Sea side of the monsoon is likely to get active.
“The Arabian Sea in the next few days will be favourable for the onset of monsoon over Kerala,” said Kashyapi.
Rainfall for the next few days
Kashyapi said that there is no strong active system seen over the state.
“But due to moderately strong westerly winds all four subdivisions of Maharashtra will experience isolated rainfall. Many parts of the state will be partly cloudy and chances of light to very light rain are likely,” said Kashyapi.