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What India must do to seal Women's T20 World Cup semi-final qualification; full scenario explained

India's road to the T20 World Cup semi-final became tricky after loss to South Africa in Manchester.

Updated on: Jun 22, 2026, 07:41:37 IST
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Harmanpreet Kaur's India were given a reality check on Sunday night as the Women in Blue went down in a thriller against South Africa in the Group A match of the Women's T20 World Cup. The reigning 50-over champions began their campaign in style by beating Pakistan and the Netherlands, but a loss to the Proteas has put India's future in jeopardy. Now, there is a real chance India won't even make the last four.

India's Harmanpreet Kaur looks on. (Nigel French/PA via AP)
India's Harmanpreet Kaur looks on. (Nigel French/PA via AP)

India's six-wicket loss against the Proteas has thrown Group A wide open, and any one between India, South Africa and Australia can be eliminated. The qualification will eventually boil down to the last Group A match between India and Australia on Sunday, June 28.

Also Read: IND W vs SA W Highlights, Women's T20 World Cup 2026: Marizanne Kapp blows India away as Women in Blue face first defeat

The net run-rate is now expected to play a key role as there is a chance that all three teams - India, South Africa and Australia- can finish with the same number of points (8).

Here is the qualification scenario for India:

After the defeat against South Africa, India cannot afford to drop any more games. A healthy run rate and wins in the next two games should be more than enough for India to seal a place in the semi-finals.

What about South Africa and Australia?

The Laura Wolvaardt-led team began its campaign with a loss to Australia, which also dealt a body blow to its net run rate, which currently stands at -0.546. However, the Proteas have destiny in their own hands after wins over Pakistan and India. The side will next take on the Netherlands and Bangladesh, and the Proteas should be able to walk away with eight points. However, a poor run rate means that South Africa needs to beat both teams by a big margin to come anywhere close to India and Australia.

Australia are the most secure side in the group, with three wins from three matches and a healthy net run rate of +4.391. Pakistan and the Netherlands have already been eliminated from semifinal contention.

Remaining Group A matches:

June 23: Australia vs Pakistan

June 25: India vs Bangladesh

June 25: South Africa vs the Netherlands

June 27: Pakistan vs the Netherlands

June 28: South Africa vs Bangladesh

June 28: India vs Australia

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Vishesh Roy

Vishesh Roy is a sports journalist with a strong focus on cricket. He began his career at Asian News International (ANI), where he covered a range of high-profile events, including the India Open, Legends Cricket League, the England–India Test series in Ahmedabad in 2021, and the inauguration of the Narendra Modi Stadium. During his tenure at ANI, he also reported extensively on domestic cricket, covering several Ranji Trophy and Vijay Hazare Trophy matches across the country. While cricket remains his primary beat, Vishesh has also reported on tennis, football and WWE. After a stint of over three years at ANI, Vishesh moved to NDTV, where he gained hands-on experience in digital-first journalism, with a particular emphasis on live blogs and real-time news reporting. He joined Hindustan Times in October 2024 and quickly established himself with a series of exclusive interviews and source-driven stories. Ahead of the IPL 2025 auction, Hindustan Times was the first to report that the two-day event would be held in Saudi Arabia. In the early months of his tenure, Vishesh secured interviews with leading cricketers, including Pat Cummins, Shreyas Iyer, Nitish Kumar Reddy and Rashid Latif. He has also closely tracked the rise of emerging talents such as Vaibhav Suryavanshi and Priyansh Arya by speaking to their current and childhood coaches. His background in on-field reporting has helped Hindustan Times Digital break exclusive stories on major developments, including Virat Kohli’s return to the Ranji and Vijay Hazare Trophy, IPL scheduling, and the T20 World Cup controversy involving Bangladesh and Pakistan.

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