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China incursions along LAC dropped by 20% this year: Officials

India-China border has been peaceful after Wuhan due to strategic guidance provided by Modi and Xi to commanders of their militaries, according to experts.

Updated on: Sep 24, 2018, 07:21:10 IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | By
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Incursion by the Peoples’ Liberation Army (PLA) along the 3,488km Line of Actual Control (LAC) between India and China has reduced significantly in 2018 as compared to 2017, according to government officials familiar with the matter.

Officials credit the unprecedented informal summit between Modi and Chinese president Xi Jinping in Wuhan this April for the dip. (PTI File Photo)
Officials credit the unprecedented informal summit between Modi and Chinese president Xi Jinping in Wuhan this April for the dip. (PTI File Photo)

This development – attributed to the ‘Wuhan spirit’ — is expected to inject positivity into the forthcoming Special Representative talks and a possible meeting between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese Premier Li Keqiang on the sidelines of East Asia Summit in Singapore this November, the officials say.

Incursion figures available with South Block – where the defence and foreign ministries are housed – show that there have been a total of 137 PLA incursions this year till September 20. This is nearly 20% less than 170 incursions recorded till the same date in 2017. These incursions are mainly attributed to the difference in perception over land boundaries between the two sides.

Officials credit the unprecedented informal summit between Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Wuhan this April for the dip. They also point out that incursions in 2017 were high even in comparison to 2016, possibly a manifestation of the 73-day-long Doklam standoff between the Indian Army and China.

Experts say the India-China border has largely been peaceful and tranquil after Wuhan due to the strategic guidance provided by Modi and Xi to their respective commanders of militaries.

“The border management this year has been efficient with the two militaries resuming exchanges including meetings at the defence minister level. The two militaries are communicating with each other in a frank and candid manner and strategic communications among military commanders is also taking place,” said a senior official who asked not to be named.

The two sides are now working on setting up a hotline between the two defence ministers.

The Indian Army and the Indo-Tibetan Border Police have noticed that a majority of incursions this year are in the western sector or eastern Ladakh in areas of Daulet Beg Oldi, Trig Heights, Depsang and Pangong Tso, an official said. Another aspect that has come to notice of Indian intelligence, the official added, is infrastructure buildup across the LAC – including barracks for PLA troops and underground tunnels for faster deployment of troops and material.

However, with snow already beginning to fall in the Himalayas, experts expect incursion to dip further.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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