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Two years after Galwan, de-escalation still to take place on Ladakh LAC

While no less than 15 rounds of meetings between Indian and Chinese senior military commanders have taken place to restore April 2020 status quo ante on the unresolved border, the PLA is still forwardly located in the KongKa La area or what is defined as patrolling point 15 on the military map.

Published on: May 5, 2022, 08:31:31 IST
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Two years after troops of People’s Liberation Army (PLA) transgressed into Galwan Valley on May 5, 2020, an uneasy stalemate prevails between India and Chinese army along the 1597 km Line of Actual Control (LAC) in East Ladakh with incomplete disengagement from Kongka La area and unresolved patrolling issues in Depsang and Demchok areas.

Nearly three divisions of combat troops with support elements each have been deployed by Indian and Chinese Army in East Ladakh for the past two years with reserves in the hinterland.
Nearly three divisions of combat troops with support elements each have been deployed by Indian and Chinese Army in East Ladakh for the past two years with reserves in the hinterland.

While no less than 15 rounds of meetings between Indian and Chinese senior military commanders have taken place to restore April 2020 status quo ante on the unresolved border, the PLA is still forwardly located in the KongKa La area or what is defined as patrolling point 15 on the military map. After Galwan, the Chinese Army transgressed into areas of Kugrang River, a tributary of Shyok river, Gogra, and north banks of Pangong Tso on May 17-18.

Although the two armies have been able to disengage from Pangong Tso, Galwan and Gogra-Hot Springs area, the PLA is still to move back from KongKa La, which defines the Chinese border claims as per 1959 Line on the LAC. One must remember that the Chinese disengaged from Galwan in July 2020 after the June 15 clashes where the Indian Army lost 20 troops but only after inflicting undisclosed casualties on the PLA troops.

Had it not been for the Indian Army action, the PLA would have dragged its feet on disengagement from the north banks of the lake. The disengagement from Gogra post on Chang Chemo River, that joins Kugrang River in general west direction, took place on August 2021.

Even though both sides have achieved disengagement to a large extent on the East Ladakh LAC, there has been no de-escalation of troops in the region with both armies present in full strength with armored, rocket, artillery, and missile support. There has been no let down in alert on the Indian side as inputs indicated that the PLA may take advantage of the Ukraine conflict to transgress into fresh areas on the LAC. There are strict instructions from the Modi government that any PLA belligerence on the LAC must be matched and replied in kind without ceding an inch of territory.

The two countries have bilaterally discussed the issue at apex diplomatic level with Beijing wanting to normalize relations while the military dialogue takes place parallelly. The Indian side has made it clear that the road to normalization of relations goes through East Ladakh with India wanting unhindered patrolling rights in Depsang Bulge area and the Charding Nullah Junction area in Demchok. The PLA is blocking access routes to both these friction points leading to military face-offs as the Indian Army manages to send patrols into these areas despite hurdles.

The Galwan Valley and Pangong Tso lake are quiet, but the PLA has fortified on its side with a new bridge over the salt-water lake for inter-change of troops and logistical supply in the worst-case scenario. The Indian side has also strengthened all along the 3,488 km LAC with clear cut instructions to the troops guarding the north frontiers.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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