Sign in

RBI Monetary Policy: RBI revises inflation forecast lower, GDP growth forecast higher

RBI Monetary Policy: RBI has cut the repo rate by 25 bps to 5.25% to balance India's record-low inflation against a plunging rupee and 8.2% GDP growth rate.

Updated on: Dec 5, 2025, 10:56:53 IST
Share
Share via
  • facebook
  • twitter
  • linkedin
  • whatsapp
Copy link
  • copy link

The Reserve Bank of India expects softer inflation and faster economic growth in the Indian economy, even as the rupee remains under pressure in the absence of a India-US trade deal.

A man walks past a logo of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Indian Rupee inside the RBI headquarters in Mumbai. (Reuters)
A man walks past a logo of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the Indian Rupee inside the RBI headquarters in Mumbai. (Reuters)

The RBI has lowered its inflation forecast to 2.0% from 2.6% estimated earlier. At the same time, RBI has raised its GDP growth forecase to 7.3% for FY26 as against 6.8% eastimated earlier.

The Reserve Bank of India has cut the repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%, even as the monetary policy committee tries to balance India's record-low inflation against a plunging rupee and 8%-plus GDP growth rate.

A majority of the 44 economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected the RBI to cut its benchmark repurchase rate by a quarter point to 5.25% on Friday, given inflation is well below the 4% target. But with the Indian economy expanding at a faster clip and the rupee dropping to a record low below 90 to the dollar, there were plenty of reasons for the RBI to pause as well—as forecast by Citigroup Inc., Standard Charted Plc and State Bank of India.

  • HT Business Desk
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    HT Business Desk

    The HT Business Desk provides comprehensive coverage of the Indian and global financial markets. Based in Mumbai and New Delhi, the team tracks everything from Sensex and Nifty movements to the latest from India Inc., trade deals, and macroeconomic policy. We aim to empower readers with timely, fact-checked news that clarifies the complexities of the business world.Read More