First Ashes without a Gabba opener in 40 years: England dodge Brisbane, but is Perth any kinder?
The first Test moving from the Gabba to Perth offers England a fresh start, but their historical performance in Australia remains poor.
Taking the first Test away from the Gabba looks like a favour to England. For the first time since 1982-83, they won’t walk into the Gabba with 42000 Australians breathing down their necks, but into a gleaming bowl on the Swan River where they’ve never played a Test.

On paper, that feels like a reset. In reality, the numbers say this: the venue has changed, the challenge hasn’t.
From Gabba to Perth fortress

Since 1986, the Gabba has been the default Ashes curtain-raiser in Australia. In those 10 Ashes openers, Australia have won seven and drawn two, while England haven’t won a single Test there this century. Their last victory in Brisbane came in 1986, when Botham’s 138 lit up a series England eventually took 2-1.
That history is why shifting the first Test to Perth in 2025-26 was instantly framed as a tiny crack in Australia’s armour. But England’s historic record in the West is, if anything, worse. At the old WACA, their Ashes ledger reads 1 win, 9 defeats, 3 draws, with that lone victory way back in 1978 against a Packer-depleted Australia.
And Perth’s new home, Optus Stadium, has already developed its own aura. Australia have won four of five Tests there; the only blot is India’s 295-run win earlier this year. In all five matches at the venue, the team batting first has gone on to win.
Put simply, England have escaped one graveyard and walked into another that is still under construction.
Why the opener feels decisive

The broader Ashes trend is brutal. Since winning 3-1 in 2010-11, England have not won a single Test in Australia. The last three away Ashes campaigns have ended 5-0, 4-0, and 4-0.
Across their nine Ashes tours to Australia in the modern era (post-1988 Bicentenary), England have managed just one series win and six victories in 45 Tests. Starting well is not a luxury; it’s their only realistic route to staying alive into Melbourne and Sydney.
There are cracks for Ben Stokes to aim at. Australia begin this series without Pat Cummins, and have now Josh Hazlewood and Sean Abbott out from the opener due to hamstring injuries, forcing Michael Neser into the squad and fast-tracking Brendan Doggett towards a debut.
England, by contrast, have had a rare slice of good injury news: Mark Wood has been cleared after hamstring scans and is set to spearhead a pace attack that could include Jofra Archer, Josh Tongue, and Gus Atkinson. Under Brendon McCullum, England have already shown they can hit the ground running abroad - they have won the first Test on all five overseas tours in his tenure, even with minimal warm-up cricket.
So does moving the opener to Perth help England? Marginally. It removes the psychological weight of four decades without a win at Gabba, and throws Australia’s patched-up seam attack straight into a high-risk surface. But the hard data is clear: if England are to finally end their 14-year drought in Australia, they’ll have to rewrite history in a city that has never been kind to them - old ground or new.
ABOUT THE AUTHORProbuddha BhattacharjeeProbuddha Bhattacharjee is a sports writer and analyst with expertise spanning cricket, football, and multi-sport events, with a strong emphasis on data-driven journalism and tactical storytelling. He currently focuses on international cricket, the Indian Premier League, global tournaments, and emerging trends shaping modern sport, blending advanced statistics with strong narrative context to explain performance, strategy, and decision-making. His work aims to bridge the gap between numbers and storytelling, helping readers understand not just what happened on the field, but the tactical and structural reasons behind it. Trained in data journalism through the Google News Initiative (GNI) Data Journalism Lab, Probuddha works extensively with ball-by-ball datasets, performance metrics, and trend-based modelling to produce evidence-backed reports, explainers, and long-form features. His analytical approach focuses not only on outcomes but also on process—selection strategies, phase-wise tactics, workload management, and the influence of preparation and planning on match results. He is particularly interested in how statistical patterns reshape conventional cricketing narratives and provide clearer tactical insight for modern audiences. Beyond cricket, Probuddha has written analytical and news-driven pieces on football and other major sporting events, with a growing interest in sports governance, scheduling dynamics, and the economics of elite competitions. He also tracks how rule changes, franchise structures, and broadcast pressures influence the evolution of contemporary sport. He has previously contributed to platforms such as OneCricket, Sportskeeda, and CrickTracker, and continues to specialise in analytical storytelling, live coverage, and audience-focused reporting. His work prioritises clarity, context, and credibility, while consistently exploring innovative ways to present data through accessible narratives and structured match analysis.Read More



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