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From rare earths to trade and the Global South: What Lula’s re-election in Brazil means for India

PM Modi described Lula's re-election victory as remarkable in a congratulatory message on social media and said he looked forward to working closely with him.

Updated on: Oct 26, 2026, 15:59:34 IST
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Prime Minister Narendra Modi was quick to congratulate President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva on his stunning victory in Brazil’s run-off election on Monday, saying he looked forward to working together on the priorities of the Global South and a more inclusive world order.

Lula’s victory, which sets up a fourth non-consecutive presidential term days before the Brazilian leader turns 81, will ensure continuity with a country that has emerged as a key partner in India's efforts to forge a reformed multilateralism. (Reuters File)
Lula’s victory, which sets up a fourth non-consecutive presidential term days before the Brazilian leader turns 81, will ensure continuity with a country that has emerged as a key partner in India's efforts to forge a reformed multilateralism. (Reuters File)

Lula’s victory, which sets up a fourth non-consecutive presidential term days before the Brazilian leader turns 81, will ensure continuity with a country that has emerged as a key partner in India's efforts to forge a reformed multilateralism and to revamp global governance institutions such as the United Nations.

Modi's message

PM Modi described Lula's re-election victory as remarkable in a congratulatory message on social media and said he looked forward to working closely with him to deepen and expand the bilateral strategic partnership.

Deep Dive

How could Lula’s re-election affect India-Brazil relations?

It is expected to maintain continuity in the strategic partnership. Modi said the two countries would work to expand cooperation and advance shared Global South priorities.

What trade target have India and Brazil set for 2030?

India and Brazil agreed to raise bilateral trade to $30 billion by 2030. Their trade had increased by 25% in 2025 compared with the previous year.

Why are India and Brazil working together on rare earths?

The countries concluded agreements on rare earths and mining, which the article describes as important to India’s energy transition and infrastructure development. Brazil has an estimated third-largest rare earth reserves globally.
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“Together, we will continue to strengthen our cooperation across diverse sectors, advance the shared priorities of the Global South and work towards a more inclusive, equitable and sustainable world,” Modi said.

“Democracy prevailed, hope grew stronger, and Brazil moves forward,” Lula said after defeating right-wing senator Flavio Bolsonaro, with the loss of the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro also being seen as a repudiation by the Brazilian people of US President Donald Trump’s policies in South America.

What the victory means

Lula's victory will allow him to play a leading role in leftist politics in the region as the right makes gains across several South American countries.

When Trump imposed 50% tariffs on both India and Brazil in 2025 – among the highest penalties levied by the US administration – Lula was quick to reach out to Modi to discuss ways to cope with the fallout. At the time, Modi and Lula pledged to deepen bilateral cooperation between the two emerging economies in areas ranging from trade and energy to defence and technology.

Trump had linked the punishing tariffs on Brazil to demands for ending the prosecution of former president Bolsonaro, and those on India to its Russian oil purchases. At the time, Lula had emphasised Brazil and India's commitment to "defending multilateralism".

This was followed by Lula's visit to India with a large business delegation – seen as part of his desire to deepen greater economic integration between the two countries. The two sides agreed to raise bilateral trade to $30 billion by 2030, reflecting their keenness to build on recent momentum in commercial ties, including a 25% increase in 2025 over the previous year.

This is also in line with India's search for new markets in Latin America, a region that was not a focus for New Delhi in recent decades. The two sides have also worked together at forums such as BRICS and the G20 to build a more equitable new order, and Brazil played a key part in helping India achieve a unanimous joint declaration at the recent BRICS Summit amid sharp differences between Iran and the United Arab Emirates.

The two sides also concluded agreements on rare earths and mining, perceived as crucial to New Delhi’s energy transition and infrastructure build-up, as well as the efforts to overcome China's grip on the supply of critical minerals. Brazil is estimated to hold the world's third-largest rare earth reserves and could emerge as a key source of these commodities.

On the other hand, Brazil stands to gain from India's experience in sectors such as defence manufacturing, space and digitalisation.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Rezaul H Laskar

Rezaul Hasan Laskar is Foreign Editor with the Hindustan Times, which he joined in 2015. He began as a journalist in his hometown of Shillong in northeast India and has worked in newspapers and wire services over the years. He moved to New Delhi in 1997 and initially focused on defence, national security, Jammu and Kashmir and the northeast, while also working of foreign policy and international relations. He has been part of the media delegation accompanying PMs on foreign visits and has reported from destinations ranging from Tibet to Ukraine. Between 2007 and 2013, he was the Press Trust of India correspondent in Pakistan, one of only two Indian journalists allowed to report from the country. He extensively covered Pakistan’s domestic politics and the life of the common people, as well as the fallout of the 2008 Mumbai attacks on India-Pakistan relations and the subsequent trial in Pakistan of the suspects involved in the attack. As part of his reportage in Pakistan, he travelled the breadth of the country, from the Swat Valley to Balochistan. Reza’s first gig in journalism was writing a weekly music column, and music – especially classic rock – remains a keen interest. He is also a movie buff and a keen photographer.

Get Latest News, breaking headlines, and top India News, and today real-time updates from across the nation. Stay informed on politics, government policies, crime, Today Weather, and major developments on Hindustan Times
Get Latest News, breaking headlines, and top India News, and today real-time updates from across the nation. Stay informed on politics, government policies, crime, Today Weather, and major developments on Hindustan Times
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