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Exit poll highlights: Congress poised for Haryana win; NC+ holds edge in J&K
Exit poll 2024 highlights: Who will win the battle for Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir? Find out what pollsters like CVoter and Axis My India predict.
Exit poll 2024 highlights: Exit polls for Haryana's 2024 Assembly elections indicated a dominant showing for Congress, with predictions ranging from 44 to 64 seats, while the BJP is expected to secure 15-32 seats. Exit polls suggest the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance holds an advantage in the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections. Results for both Jammu and Kashmir and Haryana will be announced on October 8....Read More
In Haryana, the race for control of the 90-member Assembly has been fiercely contested. The state has seen intense campaigning, with the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) aiming for a third consecutive term. After coming to power in 2014 and 2019, the BJP is eyeing a "hat-trick" of victories. Chief minister Nayab Singh Saini, who replaced Manohar Lal Khattar earlier this year, has been at the forefront of the BJP’s campaign. His political fate, along with that of many other prominent leaders, will be sealed in these elections.
The main challenger in the Haryana assembly elections is the Congress. Bhupinder Singh Hooda is hoping to stage a comeback after a decade out of power, even as Congress has avoided declaring a CM face. Hooda, a seasoned politician and former chief minister, is contesting from Garhi Sampla-Kiloi and is banking on anti-incumbency sentiment to propel his party back to power. Wrestling star-turned-politician Vinesh Phogat is another high-profile candidate, representing the Congress in Julana. The Congress has made strategic alliances, leaving the Bhiwani seat to its INDIA bloc partner, the CPI(M), in a bid to strengthen its chances.
The primary contest is expected to be between the BJP and Congress, with regional forces like Jannayak Janta Party (JJP) and Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) hoping to gain enough seats to hold the balance of power in the event of a hung assembly.
Haryana exit poll 2024 results will provide an early indication of whether the BJP’s momentum holds or if the Congress can turn the tide in its favour after 10 years in opposition.
Follow exit poll results in Hindi
Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections
In Jammu and Kashmir, the assembly elections are historic for several reasons. This is the first assembly election since the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019, and for the first time in over seven decades, several communities—West Pakistan Refugees, Valmikis, and Gurkhas—have been granted voting rights. The elections in Jammu and Kashmir were conducted in three phases, with voter turnout registering a remarkable 69.65 per cent in the third and final phase.
Polling in the Jammu region was particularly robust, with districts like Udhampur, Kathua, and Samba recording turnout figures above 70 per cent. In Udhampur, which has four Assembly segments, the turnout was 76.09 per cent, the highest in the final phase. Meanwhile, in Kashmir, districts like Baramulla and Sopore, which have historically been separatist strongholds, saw significantly improved voter participation compared to previous elections.
The results of the Jammu and Kashmir elections will be crucial in determining the political course of the Union Territory. The exit poll results will give an early insight into whether the newly empowered communities have altered the traditional voting patterns or if the existing power structures will remain in place.
Exit poll 2024 results
Most of the pollsters, including Dhruv Research, People's Pulse, and Republic-Matrize, have projected a comfortable victory for the Congress party in Haryana. A closer fight is expected in Jammu and Kashmir, where the assembly elections were held for the first time after it was stripped of its special status in 2019. India Today CVoter has projected 40-48 seats for the Congress-NC alliance in Jammu and Kashmir while the BJP is expected to win 27-32 seats.
While exit polls are not always an accurate predictor of final results, they serve as a useful barometer of public sentiment immediately following the election.
Exit polls often set the tone for political discourse in the days leading up to the actual counting of votes. Analysts and political commentators will closely examine trends, especially in key constituencies where prominent leaders are contesting. Will the BJP maintain its grip on Haryana, or will the Congress stage a comeback? Will the first-time voters in Jammu and Kashmir shift the balance of power in the newly constituted Assembly?
Stay with us as we bring you real-time updates, expert analyses, and reactions from across the political spectrum as the exit poll results unfold. With the actual vote counting set for October 8, today's predictions will set the stage for what promises to be a dramatic conclusion to these high-stakes elections.
Exit poll 2024 live: Effect of Rahul Gandhi's visit, Ashok Tanwar on Haryana projections
Congress leader Ashok Tanwar says, "Today the exit polls for Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir have come and in all the exit polls the Congress party is moving towards a big majority. This shows that we got to see the effect of Rahul Gandhi's visit and the strong voice he raised...We alone have a majority in Haryana."
Exit poll 2024 live: J&K's control will lie with Delhi, says Engineer Rashid
Awami Ittehad Party chief Sheikh Abdul Rashid said irrespective of the Jammu and Kashmir assembly election results, the Union Territory's control will lie with Delhi.
"Whether we are going to have a hung assembly here or any one political party gets majority of seats, the control lies with New Delhi because J&K is a Union Territory. Whoever forms the government here -- especially those who claimed to reinstate Article 370, statehood or Article 35A, or prisoners out of jails or to stop human rights violations or initiating talks with Pakistan -- it's an examination for them," he said.
Exit poll 2024 live: Kumari Selja's ‘due process’ reply on Congress's CM face
Exit poll 2024 live: When asked about Congress's CM face in Haryana, Kumari Selja said: "Once the results are out, CLP (Congress Legislature Party) meeting will be called, and after that it goes to the high command, and there is a due process which has to be gone through. Ultimately, the final call has to been taken by the Congress high command."
Exit poll 2024 live: Forming govt in J&K not a priority, says Engineer Rashid
Exit poll 2024 live: Awami Ittehad Party chief Sheikh Abdul Rashid alias Engineer Rashid says, "Omar Abdullah has insulted those who voted for me and AIP...For me, forming government is a non-issue and not a priority. For me, what is important is to see how much effort the new government puts in to resolve the issues of people of J&K."
Exit poll 2024 live: J&K Congress chief says ‘exact poll’ to better exit poll results
Exit poll 2024 live: J&K Congress chief Tariq Hameed Karra called the exit poll results on the expected lines, adding, "the exact poll will be even better than this. We have been maintaining that this vote is against BJP's hegemony and their anti-people actions and divisive politics. People had decided to vote to keep BJP out of the power corridor."
Exit poll 2024 live: Congress candidate backs Bhupinder Singh Hooda for CM post
Exit poll 2024 live: "It is a guarantee that Bhupinder Singh Hooda will become the CM again, and I would like to thank the people of Haryana for defeating this arrogant (BJP-led) government and for teaching them a lesson," says Kuldeep Vats, Congress candidate from Badli Assembly constituency.
Exit poll 2024 live: BJP confident of forming govt in Jammu and Kashmir
Exit poll 2024 live: As exit polls predict an edge for the National Conference (NC)-Congress alliance in the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leaders remain optimistic about their chances of forming the government. Former Deputy Chief Minister of J&K and BJP leader Kavinder Gupta dismissed the exit poll results on Saturday, expressing confidence that the BJP will perform better once the actual results are announced.
Exit poll 2024 live: What the pollsters predict for Haryana assembly election
Exit oll 2024 live: J&K BJP president confident of being largest party
Several exit polls have given an edge to the National Conference (NC)-Congress alliance in the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly elections, predicting that the NC could emerge as the single-largest party. However, J&K BJP president Ravinder Raina remains confident that the BJP will be the largest party once results are declared on October 8. "We are confident that BJP will emerge as the single largest party when the results are out on October 8," he said.
Exit Poll 2024 live: Former law minister Ashwani Kumar on exit poll results
Former Union law minister Ashwani Kumar on Saturday said that the high voter turnout in the Haryana Assembly elections indicates a "decisive vote for change," with the Congress emerging as the "people's preferred choice." Speaking on the exit polls and the political climate, Kumar suggested that if the Congress were to win, it would send a "discomforting" message to the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) from the Hindi heartland.
Exit Poll 2024 live: Edge to NC-Congress in J&K
Exit polls conducted for the Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections predict a clear majority for the Congress in Haryana and give the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance an edge in Jammu and Kashmir.
In Jammu and Kashmir:
C-Voter-India Today: NC-Congress 40-48 seats, BJP 27-32 seats (out of 90 seats).
Dainik Bhaskar: NC-Congress 35-40 seats, BJP 20-25 seats.
Peoples' Pulse: NC-Congress 46-50 seats, BJP 23-27 seats.
Republic-Gulistan: NC-Congress 31-36 seats, BJP 28-30 seats.
The People's Democratic Party (PDP) is predicted to win between 5 and 12 seats across different polls, while other parties could win 4-16 seats. The official results will be announced on October 8.
Exit Poll 2024 live: Congress to comfortably win Haryana, pollsters predict
Exit polls conducted for the Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir assembly elections predict a clear majority for the Congress in Haryana and give the Congress-National Conference (NC) alliance an edge in Jammu and Kashmir.
In Haryana:
Dainik Bhaskar: Congress 44-54 seats, BJP 15-29 seats (out of 90 seats).
Republic-Matrize: Congress 55-62 seats, BJP 18-24 seats.
Red Mike-Datansh: Congress 50-55 seats, BJP 20-25 seats.
Dhruv Research: Congress 50-64 seats, BJP 22-32 seats.
Peoples' Pulse: Congress 49-60 seats, BJP 20-32 seats.
Exit Poll 2024 live: Axis My India predicts 35-45 seats for Congress-NC in J&K
Exit Poll 2024 live: Axis My India has projected 35-45 seats for the Congress-NC alliance in Jammu and Kashmir.
Congress-NC: 35-45
BJP: 24-34
PDP: 4-6
AIP: 3-8
Exit Poll 2024 live: Former Haryana minister says ‘exit poll ki pol pehle bhi khul chuki hai’
Anil Vij, former Haryana minister and BJP candidate from Ambala Cantt Assembly seat, says, “'Exit poll ki pol pehle bhi khul chuki hai'. People are still casting their votes and people are standing in line. The last person is yet to cast the vote. The total percentage has not been out yet...Exit poll will be proved wrong and the BJP will form the government. On October 8 BJP will form government.”
Exit Poll 2024 live: Republic-Matrize projects 55-62 seats for Congress, 18-24 seats for BJP in Haryana
Exit Poll 2024 live: In line with most of the pollsters, Republic-Matrize has projected 55-62 seats for Congress and18-24 seats for BJP in Haryana.
Exit Poll 2024 live: News24-Dhruv Research projects 57-64 seats for Congress in Haryana
Exit Poll 2024 live: News24-Dhruv Research has projected 57-64 seats for the Congress party and 27-32 seats for the BJP in Haryana.
Exit Poll 2024 live: India Today-CVoter projects 40-48 seats for Congress-NC alliance in J&K
Exit Poll 2024 live: India Today-CVoter has projected 40-48 seats for the Congress-NC alliance in Jammu and Kashmir, making them the favourites to form government in the UT.
Exit Poll 2024 live: India Today-CVoter suggests 17% vote share for PDP in Kashmir
Exit Poll 2024 live: India Today-CVoter suggests that People's Democratic Party is expected to receive 17 per cent vote share in the Valley.
Exit Poll 2024 live: India Today-CVoter results project 27-31 seats for BJP in Jammu
Exit Poll 2024 live: Out of 43 seats in the Jammu region, India Today-CVoter exit poll results have projected 27-31 seats for BJP while 11-15 seats for National Conference and Congress alliance.
Exit Poll 2024 live: Dainik Bhaskar predicts 44-54 seats for Congress in Haryana
Exit Poll 2024 live: Congress is likely to return to power in Haryana after 10 years with 44-54 seats while the BJP could be restricted between 19-29 seats, according to Dainik Bhaskar.
Exit Poll 2024 live: People's Pulse result for Jammu and Kashmir
JKNC - 33-35
BJP - 23-27
INC - 13-15
PDP - 7-11
Others - 4-5
Exit Poll 2024 live: No single party to hit the majority mark in J&K, People's Pulse projects
Exit Poll 2024 live: No single party will be able to achieve the majority mark on its own in Jammu & Kashmir, according to People's Pulse.
Exit Poll 2024 live: BJP to win 23-27 seats in J&K, predicts People's Pulse
Exit Poll 2024 live: BJP is likely to win 23 to 27 seats in Jammu and Kashmir, becoming the second-largest party in the Union Territory, according to People's Pulse.
Exit Poll 2024 live: National Conference to emerge as single largest party in J&K, projects People's Pulse
Exit Poll 2024 live: National Conference is expected to emerge as the single largest party in J&K with 33-35 seats, according to People's Pulse.
Exit Poll 2024 live: People's Pulse projects big win for Congress in Haryana
Exit Poll 2024 live: People's Pulse has projected 55 seats for Congress in Haryana's 90-seat assembly.
