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View: Muizzu's 'come to Jesus moment' as Male seeks debt relief from India

Muizzu’s statement to the media seeking debt relief from India is quite intriguing to say the least as Indian EXIM bank repayments only start next year.

Published on: Mar 23, 2024, 09:00:59 IST
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New Delhi: It is 'come to Jesus moment' for Maldives President Mohammed Muizzu after he called India a ‘closest ally’ and urged for debt relief to bail out the Island nation from looming economic disaster. But typically of this mercurial politician, Muizzu blamed the previous pro-India Ibrahim Solih government for the present economic crisis in Maldives with the aim of influencing voters in the forthcoming Majlis election on April 21.

Maldives President Mohammed Muizzu
Maldives President Mohammed Muizzu

Just as Muizzu wanted to throw out non-existent Indian troops from Maldives even before he took over as President on November 17, 2023, the Maldives President has sought debt relief from India without even formally approaching the Modi government.

For someone who was boxing way above his weight category and seeking adversaries of India as key allies, Muizzu refused to allow Pakistan frigate PMS Saif to pay a courtesy call at Male seaport after so-called goodwill visit at Colombo port between January 30-February 1 earlier this year.

Also read: Why is China provoking India over Arunachal Pradesh?

Muizzu’s statement to the media seeking debt relief from India is quite intriguing to say the least as Indian EXIM bank repayments only start next year. Male owes some 1.3 billion USD to China and some USD 380 million to India but the biggest crisis will be repayment of USD one billion in 2026 to sovereign bonds holders. His statement indicates that realization has slowly dawned on Maldives that no country other than India will provide financial support to Male, not even cash rich China without any collateral. Sri Lanka similarly had the same come to Jesus moment when only India came to its support during the financial and political chaos of 2022.

Muizzu’s observations in the media also betray the fact that Indian high end tourists have stopped going to Maldives with guest house Chinese tourist arrivals now occupying the number 1 slot and Indians going down to number 6 slot. Unconfirmed reports indicate that high end resorts catering to Indian tourists have lost nearly USD 100 million in revenues in the first three months.

Given the financials of Maldives, it does not require a Harvard economics expert to predict that Male is heading for a loan default in 2026. And Muizzu’s shooting from the hip strategy against India has backfired as clearly his Ottoman and Han friends are not inclined to invest in the Indian Ocean littoral nation.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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