Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in key swing states before election: Report
Polls show Joe Biden running better than Hillary Clinton did four years ago, though analysts say Donald Trump still has a viable path to an election win.
Democratic nominee Joe Biden narrowly leads President Donald Trump in Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona -- and by a wider margin in Wisconsin -- according to a set of New York Times/Siena College polls in those four critical swing states that together could decide the US presidential election.
Click here for complete coverage of US elections 2020
More than 92 million votes have already been cast ahead of the November 3 election, with the US poised for potentially record turnout amid deep partisan divisions and a global pandemic that short-circuited the US economy.
The swing state polls found:
The margin of error is 3.2 percentage points in Wisconsin and Florida; 3 points in Arizona and 2.4 points in Pennsylvania. The polls sampled more than 1,200 people in each state, and were conducted over a period ranging Oct 26 to Oct 31.
Trump carried all four of these states narrowly in 2016, as he won the presidential election over Hillary Clinton despite falling short in the popular vote. Polls show Biden running better than Clinton did four years ago, though analysts say Trump still has a viable path to an election win.
That path would likely require Trump winning at least two of the states in the Times polls released today, as well as several other states considered “toss ups” by nonpartisan election handicappers.