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Nawaz Sharif is in pole position, but governance is a steep task in Pakistan

While India’s objectives vis-à-vis Pak remain unchanged, resumption of trade and traditional ties are expected if Nawaz Sharif comes to power.

Updated on: Feb 8, 2024, 10:02:35 IST
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New Delhi: With PML (N) veteran leader Nawaz Sharif taking the pole position in Pakistan general elections today, India should expect stability on its western borders at least for next three years as Mian Sahib has not only the blessings of Rawalpindi GHQ but also is a mature experienced leader unlike his predecessor and now incarcerated Imran Khan, and childish PPP leader Bilawal Zardari.

Suicide bombing is a routine occurrence in Pakistan.
Suicide bombing is a routine occurrence in Pakistan.

However, whosoever the Pakistan public elects as the new leader, the country is no bed of roses and the next Prime Minister will have to deal with problems ranging from a pathetic economy, rampant insurgency in Balochistan and KPK, a state within state terrorist groups in Punjab province and a highly radicalized Islamic society within the exalted sense of geographical identity. Simply put, Pakistan is a failed state thriving on doles from China, which uses Islamabad in its effort to contain its arch-rival India.

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While there is no doubt that Pakistan Army is the biggest stakeholder in India’s neighbouring country and runs the Islamic Republic from the shadows, Nawaz Sharif is the best bet for Rawalpindi as its experiment with the unscrupulous Imran Khan failed miserably. Sharif has been removed by Pakistan President, Pakistan Army and Pakistan Supreme Court in the past, yet has the gumption to trudge his own path. His last tenure as PM was numbered after the word Kashmir, smelling salts for all Punjabi Pakistanis, was found amiss in the India-Pakistan joint statement at Ufa on July 10, 2015, after Nawaz Sharif met Prime Minister Narendra Modi. But then the same word was found missing when Nawaz Sharif came for PM Modi’s swearing-in ceremony on May 26, 2014, even during the one-to-one the two leaders had after the ceremony.

Also Read | Pakistan election today: Voting amid rising violence, economic crises

In case Nawaz Sharif becomes the PM of Pakistan, then trade and traditional ties may resume with Islamabad provided the new PM takes action against rabidly anti-India Punjabi terrorist groups in Pakistan. Fact is that Pakistan can ill-afford to heat up its eastern border with terrorism as its western front is burning with both Iran and Afghanistan upset at the machinations of Pakistani deep state and Baluch and Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) insurgency at its peak.

Unlike his predecessors, Prime Minister Narendra Modi is not looking for any legacy with Pakistan and is crystal clear on what to expect from the rabidly radicalized state. With Nawaz Sharif as PM, there should be a semblance of stability on India’s western front though it will take Pakistan decades to come out of the economic and political abyss that it is currently finding itself in. And for that Pakistan Army and its unscrupulous politicians are to be blamed.

 
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Shishir Gupta

Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.

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