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An hour-by-hour account of how Delhi’s air quality tanked on Diwali

Delhi air was cleaner on Diwali eve in 2021 than it was in 2019 and 2020. Things went downhill rapidly.

Updated on: Nov 6, 2021, 04:09:20 IST
By , New Delhi
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Delhi woke up to one of its most polluted mornings this year after Diwali, according to Air Quality Index (AQI) data, with farm fires in Punjab and Haryana, and the use of fireworks on Diwali night (Thursday) contributing to the spike.

A heavy layer of smog engulfed Kirti Nagar, as people burst firecrackers on Diwali night. (Sanchit Khanna/HT Photo)
A heavy layer of smog engulfed Kirti Nagar, as people burst firecrackers on Diwali night. (Sanchit Khanna/HT Photo)

To be sure, AQI is not the best metric for comparison if data for all pollutants is not available. This is because AQI is simply the highest among the sub-indices for different pollutants. If the data for one or more significant pollutants is not available, we might just be looking at the highest sub-index among available data. Still, on the basis of available data, two things are clear: this was among the most polluted Diwalis in Delhi and fireworks are not the only cause for the spike in pollution.

HT analysed hourly PM 2.5 concentration levels and wind speed and the number of farm fires per day from three days before Diwali for 2019 (October 27), 2020 (November 14) and 2021 (November 4) to reach this conclusion. The analysis is based on data from five monitoring stations – Aya Nagar station of the India Meteorological Department, and the Najafgarh, Narela, Punjabi Bagh, and Sri Aurobindo Marg stations of the Delhi Pollution Control Committee – which have hourly data for all three years.

Delhi air was cleaner on Diwali eve in 2021 than it was in 2019 and 2020. Things went downhill rapidly. At midnight on Diwali, the average PM 2.5 level in Delhi was 613.2 micrograms per cubic meter, higher than what it was at Diwali midnight in 2019 and 2020. However, what is more remarkable is the fact that pollution levels kept rising even after midnight. One would assume that cracker bursting reduced if not completely ended by this time. Average PM 2.5 level reached 729.6 micrograms per cubic meter between 3 am and 4 am hour on November 5, much higher than what it was during Diwali in 2019 and 2020.

Low wind speed did not help

So, is it just crackers that are to blame? Data does not support such a claim. Take wind speed for instance. Pollution levels fall with a rise in wind speed. This year there was hardly any wind to carry the pollutants away. This was especially true during the evening when crackers would have had the maximum impact on pollution.

More farm fires this year

Pollution levels started rising even before Diwali in Delhi. The biggest reason for this has been an increase in number of farm fires in neighbouring states. Not only has the number of farm fires increased significantly during the past few days, this number is significantly higher for this Diwali than in 2019 and 2020. Data from System of Air Quality and Weather Forecasting And Research (SAFAR) shows that farm fires contributed 25% of PM2.5 in Delhi’s air on Diwali (November 4). This is the biggest contribution on any day this year since October 20.

  • Abhishek Jha
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Abhishek Jha

    Abhishek Jha is Assistant Editor-Data at Hindustan Times. He uses statistical programming to generate newsworthy insights from large datasets. He is part of the team that produces Number Theory, a daily data story feature of the paper’s print edition. Since March 2024, he has been writing Weather Bee, a weekly column for the Hindustan Times website. He is a chemical engineer by training, who specialises in stories related to weather, climate, and the environment. Jha has been at HT since 2018, where he offers data-driven perspective and analysis on politics, environment, weather, climate, economy and society. His work includes data coverage of elections in India and abroad, including the 2019 and 2024 Lok Sabha elections; the disasters and extreme weather resulting from changing climate, such as floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, and dwindling snow cap in the Himalayas; the factors that drive poor air quality in northern India; the changing patterns of land use; the Covid-19 pandemic and its impact on labour market conditions; the changing pattern of consumer spending seen in the new consumer spending surveys; and social norms seen in the surveys such as the National Family Health Survey.Read More