Why lockdowns won’t work in the current wave

The seven-day rolling average of cases in India has been rising every day since December 27 or for 18 days

The seven-day rolling average of cases in India has been rising every day since December 27 or for 18 days. From 6,780 on December 27 (the lowest this number has dropped since May 2020), it went to 193,418 on January 13. While average deaths were not rising initially, they have started inching upwards since January 4 in states excluding Kerala (more on this later). Does this mean we are headed for a crisis like the one seen during the second wave caused by the Delta variant? Should lockdowns be imposed to reduce deaths? An HT analysis suggests that such measures may not be necessary and can actually hurt. Here are four charts that show why.

The seven-day average of deaths at the national-level does not seem to be increasing consistently despite the average for cases increasing every day since December 27.(ANI)