IPL playoff qualification scenarios - The mid-table muddle
As the IPL group stage enters its final week, only two teams, Chennai Super Kings and Delhi Capitals, have secured qualification for the playoffs. There is a proper muddle in the mid-table and as many as five teams are vying for the remaining two spots.Updated: Apr 30, 2019 17:56 IST
As the IPL group stage enters its final week, only two teams, Chennai Super Kings and Delhi Capitals, have secured qualification for the playoffs. There is a proper muddle in the mid-table and as many as five teams are vying for the remaining two spots.
Here we take a look at the possible qualification scenarios for the remaining six teams:
Despite their loss to Kolkata Knight Riders in their last match, Mumbai Indians are in good shape to make it to the playoffs. They currently have 14 points in 12 matches and a win in any one of the two games secures the playoff berth. Also, if they win both their games, they could well finish in the top 2 which is an added incentive.
However, even if they fail to win the remaining matches, they can still sneak through provided other results go in their favour. They currently have the second-best NRR behind Sunrisers Hyderabad and that could come in handy if there is a tie with 14 points.
12 points in 12 matches and SRH can qualify if they win both their remaining features. If they win only 1, it will boil down to the NRR and since their net run rate is the best this season, they can make it to the playoffs.
However, if they fail to win even one match, they remain stranded on 12 points, but can still scrape through provided KKR, KXIP and RR do not win any of their remaining games as with a superior NRR, SRH can make it.
Kolkata Knight Riders
10 points in 12 matches and now KKR have to win both their matches to have any hope of making it to the playoffs. Currently, their NRR is +0.100 and it will receive a further boost with two more wins which could come in handy if the points are tied.
However, if KKR win both their matches and at the same time SRH go down to Mumbai Indians and RCB and RR lose to either or both RCB and Delhi Capitals, KKR will qualify with 14 points with no bother about the NRR.
In case KKR win only one of the two matches, they would need SRH to lose their remaining two matches and RR to lose at least one of their two matches. They would also then have to depend on CSK beating Kings XI Punjab.
Kings XI Punjab
Kings XI Punjab’s campaign has been quite similar to last season when they ran out of steam towards the end of the league stage. Stranded at 10 points from 12 games, even two victories in their remaining two matches might not be enough for R Ashwin’s team if SRH win both their matches and Mumbai Indians win against the Kolkata Knight Riders.
Their net run rate is a major worry and that is the reason they could get eliminated if there is a four-way tie on 14 points, which will be made possible if MI lose their remaining matches and SRH lose one of their two matches.
In case KXIP win one out of their two matches then they need to hope that KKR, SRH and RR lose all their remaining matches and that too with big margins.
The Royals made a captaincy change to aid their late surge for a playoff spot but that hasn’t worked either. They could get eliminated despite winning both their remaining matches, if SRH win both their matches too and Mumbai Indians get the better of Kolkata Knight Riders.
In this case their will be a tie on 14 points and negative net run rate will ensure the ‘Men in Pink’ go down. The run rate will be an issue even if the Royals manage to win just one match. They will depend on SRH losing both their matches and KXIP and KKR dropping points at least once to go through on 12 points.
Royal Challengers Bangalore
The loss to Delhi Daredevils all but ended Virat Kohli and his team’s hopes of making the playoffs but they still have a mathematical chance of sneaking in. With two matches in hand, RCB can go up to only 12 points. For them to qualify from this situation, they need MI to beat SRH and hope that KKR and KXIP win just one out of their two matches. But their poor net run rate means they will have to win by huge margins and expect other teams to suffer big defeats.
First Published: Apr 30, 2019 13:02 IST