Bihar exit polls: 130-209 for NDA, damp squib for MGB, Kingmaker Kishor predicted to draw blank

Bihar exit poll: The Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress-Left alliance) is likely to finish not very close behind NDA, with projections for it ranging from 70-103.

Updated on: Nov 12, 2025, 24:13:04 IST

By Nayanika Sengupta

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Most exit polls on Tuesday projected a clear edge for the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA), comprising Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the Janata Dal-United (JDU) primarily, in the Bihar assembly elections 2025, with the bloc expected to secure between 130 and 209 seats in the 243-member House, where the majority mark stands at 122.

Bihar exit poll results: A man walks past a banner featuring PM Narendra Modi Nitish Kumar, chief minister of Bihar (AFP)

The Mahagathbandhan (RJD-Congress-Left alliance) is likely to finish not very close behind, with projections ranging from 70 to 103 seats. Debutant Jan Suraaj Party of poll analyst Prashant Kishor, which is being considered a ‘king maker’, has been projected to secure 0-5 seats. Follow Bihar exit poll results live updates

Bihar exit poll results | Who projected what

-Chanakya Strategies

NDA: 130-138

MGB: 100-108

JSP: --

-Peoples Pulse

NDA: 133-159

Mahagathbandhan: 75-101

JSP: 0-5

Bihar exit poll projection by Peoples Pulse

-Peoples Insight

NDA: 133-148

Mahagathbandhan: 87–102

JSP: 0-2

-Matrize

NDA: 147-167

Mahagathbandhan - 70-90

JSP: 0

-Bhaskar

NDA: 145-160

Mahagathbandhan: 73-91

Jan Suraaj: 0-3

Others: 5-7

-P-Marq

NDA: 142-162

Mahagathbandhan: 80-98

JSP: 1-4

-JVC

NDA: 135-150

Mahagathbandhan: 88-103

JSP: --

Others: 3-7

-Polstrat

NDA: 133-148

Mahagathbandhan: 87-102

JSP: --

Others: 3-5

-Poll Diary

NDA: 184-209

MGB: 32-49

JSP: --

The exit poll projections were released shortly after polling concluded across all 122 of the 243 constituencies in Bihar at 6 pm on Tuesday. According to the Election Commission of India (ECI), the state recorded a voter turnout of 67.4 per cent in the second phase of polling.

Exit poll predictions often vary from the final results, which will be declared on November 14, when counting begins at 8 am under tight security arrangements across all 38 districts.

Today's Chanakya and Axis My India exit poll will be released on Wednesday, November 12.

While the contest seems to be tied between the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan for most pollsters, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj - touted as a likely ‘kingmaker’ - is projected to not make a mark in the high-stakes assembly elections 2025.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Nayanika Sengupta
Nayanika is a Chief Content Producer at Hindustan Times, based in New Delhi, with over six years of experience in the digital media industry. She specialises in delivering clear, insightful coverage across general, national, and international beats, with a strong focus on breaking news and in-depth explainers. Known for her ability to decode complex developments, she enjoys unpacking layered political and policy issues into accessible, reader-friendly narratives that inform without overwhelming. She has previously worked in India's leading newsrooms, including India Today, News18, and Outlook, where she chased news, covered major events of the past six years and led teams. With a Master's degree in Political Science, Nayanika has a keen interest in international relations and global affairs. Her academic grounding shapes her analytical approach to stories, enabling her to connect the dots between domestic events and broader geopolitical currents. She is particularly drawn to stories that require context, nuance, and clarity - turning complicated subjects into compelling reads. Outside the newsroom, Nayanika is a passionate gourmand who loves cooking and sharing meals with loved ones. When she's not writing or tracking the latest headlines, she can often be found exploring local markets for fresh ingredients, seeking inspiration for her next culinary experiment.Read More

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