India-Pak ODI series: A stats-eye view
Now that everyone is all set for the Indo-Pak ODI series, Kumud Mehta turns to statistics to see who might emerge with the upper hand.india Updated: Apr 08, 2004 18:14 IST
Now that everyone is all set for the India-Pakistan one-day series, Kumud Mehta turns to statistics to see who might emerge with the upper hand.
1ST ODI, KARACHI, 13 MARCH
India and Pakistan have faced each other at the National Stadium, Karachi, three times in the past, with a victory each and one abandoned match.
Here’s a tip for India. If they win the toss, they should bowl first as the team batting second seems to have an advantage.
In the last match played between these two countries here, Pakistan were bowled out in 47.2 overs for 265. Indiawere allowed only47 overs to reach their target. Crowd trouble, delay in third umpire decisions and an injury on field resulted in heavy loss of time. There were four crowd interruptions and finally the Indian team walked out.
India scored a four-wicket victory in 1997-98, but the current Pakistan side boasts more stars from that match than the tourists.
Shahid Afridi, opened the innings with a quick fire 72 off 56 balls, andInzamam-ul-Haq made 74, which gave Pakistan the edge over India. But India bounced back with Sourav Ganguly making 89 and Sachin Tendulkar 21.
Prediction: India win (Series 1-0)
2ND ODI, RAWALPINDI, 16 MARCH (Day/night)
Pakistan have won 10 out of 13 matches at Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium. India, on the other hand, have never had the chance to play here.
However, even though the hosts have won five of the seven day/night encounters at this venue, there is a starker statistic. Of those seven games completed under lights, six have been won by the side batting second, making the toss crucial.
To replicate most important conditions exactly, we tossed a coin. India won and reaped the rewards.
Prediction: India win (Series 2-0)
3RD ODI, PESHAWAR, 19 MARCH
The home side do not have a strong record at Arbab Niaz Stadium, Peshawar, with four wins in eight matches. But again, India have never made a one-day appearance here.
England hold the record of the highest total here (296 for four) when they played Sri Lanka in 1987-88. The lowest total was by New Zealand when they were bowled out for a paltry 127 against Pakistan in 1990-91.
Ijaz Ahmed has been the highest scorer at this ground with 117.
The first one-day international played here was between the home side and New Zealand in 1984-85, and the most recent match played here was between Pakistan and Australia in 1998-99.
Prediction: Pakistan win (series 2-1)
4TH ODI, LAHORE, 21 MARCH (Day/night)
The archrivals have played three times at the Gadaffi Stadium, earlier known as Lahore Stadium, and Pakistan have won twice.
If Ganguly wins the toss, he should elect to bowl first as more than half the matches have been won by the team batting second.
In the last match played here between India and Pakistan, a belligerent, career-best, unbeaten knock of 139 runs by dashing strokeplayer Ejaz Ahmad, studded with nine sixes and 10 boundaries, helped Pakistan outplay India by a big margin of nine wickets. That also resulted in Pakistan clinching the series 2-1.
A fine knock of 76 by vice-captain Ajay Jadeja lifted the sagging Indian innings, which at one stage was reeling at 77 for five.
Prediction: Pakistan win (series 2-2)
5TH ODI, LAHORE, 24 MARCH (Day/night)
The Gadaffi Stadium has traditionally been a fortress for the home side, and they boast of 23 wins from 34 one-day matches. Pace men like Shoaib Akhtar should rule here.
Also in their favour is the fact that they have not lost any of the six matches since floodlights became a fixture in 2000.
In five games at the ground in the past 12 months, pace bowlers Shoaib Akhtar and Mohammed Sami have taken eight wickets each.
However, with their strong batting line-up, India ought to be strong enough not to concede the series with a whimper, and get a fillip before the Test series starts.
As wicket-takers rule at this ground, India's fast men - Zaheer Khan, AshishNehra and Irfan Pathan - will have to step up.
Prediction: India win (series 3-2)
As to what really happens, we shall have to see...