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This year, Delhi has seen the earliest spell of severe AQI streak

The November 3-6 period spell of back-to-back ‘severe’ AQI days is the fifth longest consecutive ‘severe’ AQI spell in Delhi since January 2016

Updated on: Nov 7, 2023, 06:00:02 IST
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With average air quality index (AQI) of 421 for the 24 hours ending at 4 pm, November 6 became the fourth consecutive “severe” AQI day in Delhi. While Delhi has had longer stints of consecutive “severe” AQI days earlier, this year is the earliest (in the year) that air quality has been so bad for such a long spell.

Dense smog near the Yamuna River in New Delhi on Monday. (Sunil Ghosh /HT PHOTO)
Dense smog near the Yamuna River in New Delhi on Monday. (Sunil Ghosh /HT PHOTO)

The November 3-6 period spell of back-to-back “severe” AQI days is the fifth longest consecutive “severe” AQI spell in Delhi since January 2016, the earliest period for which HT analysed CPCB bulletins.

There have been 63 spells of back-to-back “severe” air quality days in Delhi since January 2016. Only four of them have been longer than the current spell of four days. These were the two seven-day spells ending November 11, 2016 and November 13, 2017; and the two six-day spells ending November 10, 2020 and December 26, 2021. The current four-day spell is tied with two spells of similar length in November 2019 and December 2018. Since the November 2019 spell started on November 12 and the current one on November 3, this is the earliest in the year that such a long spell has been observed. In fact, the current spell has come earlier than even the seven-day and six-day spells listed above. And, based on current forecasts, it may end up being longer than all of them.

To be sure, the longer spells in 2016 and 2017 are not strictly comparable. The number of air quality stations operating in “severe” days in November of those years averaged six and 15. Active stations doubled to the 30-40 range from 2018 onwards.

As far as overall number of “severe” AQI days is concerned, Delhi has recorded around 6-15 days of “severe” air in relatively good years (2017, 2020, and 2022) and 20-26 days of “severe” air in the relatively bad years. All such days have also almost entirely come in the relatively colder October- January period. 2023 has recorded seven days of “severe” air so far. However, given the fact that “Severe” AQI spell has come early this year, it remains to be seen whether 2023 will end up being one of the most polluted years for Delhi.

  • Abhishek Jha
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Abhishek Jha

    Abhishek Jha is Assistant Editor-Data at Hindustan Times. He uses statistical programming to generate newsworthy insights from large datasets. He is part of the team that produces Number Theory, a daily data story feature of the paper’s print edition. Since March 2024, he has been writing Weather Bee, a weekly column for the Hindustan Times website. He is a chemical engineer by training, who specialises in stories related to weather, climate, and the environment. Jha has been at HT since 2018, where he offers data-driven perspective and analysis on politics, environment, weather, climate, economy and society. His work includes data coverage of elections in India and abroad, including the 2019 and 2024 Lok Sabha elections; the disasters and extreme weather resulting from changing climate, such as floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, and dwindling snow cap in the Himalayas; the factors that drive poor air quality in northern India; the changing patterns of land use; the Covid-19 pandemic and its impact on labour market conditions; the changing pattern of consumer spending seen in the new consumer spending surveys; and social norms seen in the surveys such as the National Family Health Survey.Read More