Why Nitish Kumar’s NDA exit in Bihar is raising hopes in Naveen Patnaik’s BJD
Leaders of Odisha’s ruling Biju Janata Dal (BJD) expect the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to tone down its shrill pitch in the state after the party’s setback in Bihar where the
Leaders of Odisha’s ruling Biju Janata Dal (BJD) expect the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to tone down its shrill pitch in the state after the party’s setback in Bihar where the Nitish Kumar-led Janata Dal (United) dumped the BJP and is set to team up with rivals including Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD).

A BJD leader said Nitish Kumar’s exit from the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) couldn’t have come at a better time for the BJD, a view driven by the assessment that the BJP wouldn’t want to upset the BJD after losing Nitish Kumar’s support.
“For PM Modi, there is just one non-BJP chief minister in the east who has largely supported the Modi-Shah regime on matters starting from demonetisation, GST, Citizenship Amendment Act... The chief minister has stayed away from any grand alliance of opposition parties over the last two years… he would need Patnaik more to be on his side,” said the BJD MP.
The fast-changing developments in Bihar come a day after Union home minister Amit Shah told BJP leaders in Odisha that the party will evict the ruling Naveen Patnaik government in the 2024 assembly elections.
Shah told a function to release the Odia edition of the book Modi@20 in Bhubaneswar that the BJP, once described as a Hindi heartland party, had expanded in new territories including the northeast. “Soon Odisha too will have a BJP govt,” he said
At a meeting with senior party leaders, Shah told them to keep on strengthening the party at the booth level and not be daunted by the BJD’s dominance over the state’s political landscape. Shah noted that the BJP didn’t win many seats in the panchayat and civic polls this year but underlined that the BJP’s vote percentage largely remained intact at 30 per cent. “Shah said we have to take BJD head-on in whichever forum available to us in the next 2 years,” said a senior BJP leader about the closed-door meeting.
A second BJD leader said there was little chance of the BJP turning combative against the BJD because of the relationship between Naveen Patnaik and PM Modi.
“After developments in Bihar, BJP can’t be aggressive against BJD beyond a point. We were always organisationally stronger than BJP and after the political developments in Bihar, now BJP cadres in the state would be demoralised once the central leadership goes soft on us,” the second leader said.
A senior BJP leader who was part of Shah’s strategy meetings with party brass suggested the BJD shouldn’t raise its hopes too high, “If Naveen Patnaik thinks that he can bargain his way with the BJP brass, he is mistaken. We will start agitational programmes against the government and put the government on the mat over corruption,” said Odisha BJP president Sameer Mohanty.
Mohanty added that the party will also try to capitalise on President Droupadi Murmu’s elevation to tap the state’s 23% tribal votes. “For a tribal, Murmu becoming commander-in-chief is a huge thing emotionally and we would use it,” he added.
BJP leaders said by appointing senior MLA Jay Narayan Mishra, who is known for his stance against Naveen Patnaik, as leader of the opposition in the assembly, the party has sent out a message that it will no longer think twice before adopting an aggressive stance against the Naveen Patnaik government.
ABOUT THE AUTHORDebabrata MohantyDebabrata Mohanty is a senior assistant editor of Hindustan Times who works as state correspondent from Odisha covering the state's politics, governance, public policy, natural disasters, environment and its society for close to three decades. With his long years of reporting from the state capital of Bhubaneswar, Mohanty has been known as one of the most experienced and credible journalists covering Odisha for the national English dailies. His reporting combines on-ground detail with deep institutional knowledge detailing the state's changing politics, governance issues, administrative reforms and the functioning of its public institutions. He has regularly reported on issues ranging from legislative developments and public policy implementation. Politics is his core areas of expertise as he closely tracks Odisha's political landscape, including the rise and transformation of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), the Biju Janata Dal (BJD), the two principal political parties in Odisha. His long association with the state's political establishment enables him to write on contemporary developments in a larger political context. Mohanty takes a deep interest in writing human interest stories, environmental issues and documenting the impact of cyclones, floods, heatwaves, and other climate-related events in one of the most disaster-prone states. His coverage extends to public health, governance reforms and stories on accountability of government institutions. Before joining Hindustan Times, Mohanty worked with The Indian Express, Mail Today, and The Telegraph, where he covered at least six general elections and as many assembly elections. In 2007, he was selected for the prestigious Chevening Young Indian Print Journalist Programme at the University of Lincoln, United Kingdom, where he received advanced training in print journalism. In 2009 he won the Press Institute of India-International Committee of Red Cross award on conflict reporting for his on-ground reportage of 2008 Kandhamal riots.Read More

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