BJP ahead in MP, Cong in other states: Opinion polls
The BJP's swing has increased from four per cent to six per cent in Madhya Pradesh while that of Digvijay Singh had decreased from minus three to minus four, says India Today Marg survey.india Updated: Nov 21, 2003 19:58 IST
BJP is ahead in Madhya Pradesh in the coming Assembly elections, say opinion polls conducted by two news weeklies which, however, place Congress ahead in the other states going to polls on December One.
As the campaign enters mid-stream, the BJP's swing has increased from four per cent to six and that of Chief Minister Divijay Singh has decreased further from minus 3 to minus 4.
The swing of others have also decreased by one point. All the gains are the BJP's, says the India Today-Aaj Tak Org-Marg poll which gives the party 140 to 150 seats in the 230 member House against its 83 in 1998.
The ruling Congress is expected to get between 55 and 65 seats against the 124 held by it in the outgoing Assembly, the poll said.
The poll predicted bad tidings for BJP in Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh and Delhi. In Rajasthan it gave BJP between 55 and 65 seats against 33 in 1998. The ruling Congress there is expected to secure 120 to 130 setas against 153 in 1998.
In Delhi, again the ruling Congress is expected to retain the majority in the 70 member Assembly securing 50-60 seats against 49 won five years ago. BJP is expected to 10 to 20 seats against the 15 it had.
Chhattisgarh is slated to give Congress 46 to 56 seats in the 90 member House and 30 to 40 for the BJP.
The poll covered 21,773 respondents among eligible voters spread across 142 constituencies in the four states. The sampling was studied at the Parliamentary constituency level selected on the basis of swing zones on a random principle with an error of not not more than three per cent either way.
The other poll conducted by 'TNS Mode' for the The Week says after ten years in power, Digvijay Singh may have to move over with BJP having a positive swing of 8.2 per cent. But the saffron party has tough days ahead in Rajasthan and Delhi.
BJP is slated to get a massive majority of 165 to 195 seats in the 230 member Assembly in Madhya Pradesh, where Congress is predicted to win between 19 and 33 seats while losing power.
Populist campaigns like ban on cow slaughter and stance on Hindutva seem to be in favour of the BJP in Madhya Pradesh. As many as 45 per cent of the electorate see the state as not having developed in the last five yers and rate the BJP better on providing infrastructure.
Digvijay Singh also trailed Uma Bharati as a favourite contender for the top post, The Week survey says.
In Rajasthan, BJP is expected to get between 55 and 60 seats against the ruling Congress which is predicted to secure 125 to 135 seats.
In Delhi, the Shiela Dixit government's performance is expected to get Congress a majority with 46 to 54 seats forecast for it in a House of 70. BJP has to settle for seats between 11 and 20, "The Week" poll says.
The survey for the "The Week" poll was conducted on interviews to 8,652 voters across 30 constituencies in the Madhya Pradesh, 3,214 voters in 32 constituencies in Rajasthan and 2,3148 in 23 constituencies in Delhi between Nov 3 and 10.