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Bihar exit poll twist: NDA projected to win, but preferred CM is...

At least two pollsters, Peoples Pulse and Axis My India, have shown that the approval rating for Tejashwi is more than Nitish for the top post in Bihar.

Updated on: Nov 14, 2025, 07:31:14 IST
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Most exit poll projections for the Bihar assembly elections 2025 have given a unanimous lead to the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with some pollsters suggesting chief minister Nitish Kumar's camp getting at least 140 seats, while others giving at least a simple majority to the ruling alliance.

FILE: Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar with deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav in Patna, Bihar, India, on Tuesday, Sep 20, 2022. (Photo by Santosh Kumar /Hindustan Times)
FILE: Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar with deputy chief minister Tejashwi Yadav in Patna, Bihar, India, on Tuesday, Sep 20, 2022. (Photo by Santosh Kumar /Hindustan Times)

The counting of votes for the Bihar assembly elections will begin at 8 am on Friday, November 14.

Today's Chanakya and Axis My India, which released their predictions today, also gave the BJP-JD(U) alliance 121-141 seats and 160 (± 12 Seats), respectively.

While the projections may not be in favour of the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, which is hoping to make a comeback after narrowly missing out in 2020, there seems to be a silver lining for the opposition alliance.

NDA win projected but Tejashwi preferred CM?

The pollsters, who conducted surveys for the chief minister's choice, have shown more support for RJD's Tejashwi Yadav than incumbent CM Nitish Kumar.

At least two pollsters, Peoples Pulse and Axis My India, have shown that the approval rating for Tejashwi is more than Nitish for the top post in Bihar. The result is surprising, as barring one, all the pollsters have projected the NDA at a lead in Bihar.

Axis My India projected a comfortable lead for the NDA with 121 to 141 seats and Mahagathbandhan restraining between 98 to 118 seats, but the approval rate for Tejashwi as CM was 34 per cent.

Also Read: Bihar election: Axis My India projects comfortable win for NDA with 121-141 seats, Tejashwi top choice for CM

Nitish Kumar came at a distant second with 22 per cent, and 'any candidate from BJP' getting 14 per cent. It also predicted 43 per cent seats to the NDA and 41 per cent to the RJD's alliance.

The Peoples Pulse showed a clean sweep for the NDA with 133–159 seats and Tejashwi's camp getting 75-101 seats. However, when it comes to the CM face, Tejashwi led with 32 per cent, followed by Nitish Kumar at 30 per cent.

One of the biggest upsets this election was the Jan Suraaj Party, which, despite, raking up burning issues and steered by former political strategist Prashant Kishor, seems to be failing at making a debut this polls. Kishor's party is projected to get a highest of five seats, the lowest being zero.

The post-poll predictions comes after voting concluded in Bihar for the two-phase assembly polls on November 6 and 11, with the results scheduled on November 14.

  • Majid Alam
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Majid Alam

    Majid Alam is a Chief Content Producer working at Hindustan Times, based in New Delhi. He currently heads shifts at online desk and manages homepage apart from writing, editing and curating articles. With over six years of experience in journalism, Majid has navigated national, politics and international news. His work primarily focuses on the politics of the Hindi heartland, government policies, and South Asia. He also writes on US and Europe’s policies vis-à-vis India. Before joining Hindustan Times, Majid worked at ABP LIVE as the Chief Copy Editor and at News18, where he managed the World and Explainers sections. His articles have featured in Dialogue Earth, The Quint, BMJ, The Diplomat, and Outlook India. Majid has a keen interest in the use of data for storytelling. Majid holds a Masters in Convergent Journalism from Jamia Millia Islamia. He was awarded the Erasmus+ scholarship to study International Affairs at Sciences Po, Paris in 2020. He is also part of the OCEANS Network, an alumni network of Erasmus+ exchange scholars. He is currently serving as the National Representative (India) at the OCEANS Network. Apart from journalism, Majid has a flair for academic writing and loves to teach. He has published a book chapter: 'Bombay Cinema and Postmodernism' in the book: 'Handbook of Research on Social and Cultural Dynamics in Indian Cinema.' He was also part of the OCEANS Network delegation to Hanoi National University of Education in Vietnam in 2025. He has also given guest lecture in digital journalism at AJK MCRC, Jamia Millia Islamia.Read More