'Next Covid wave will reach its peak faster if...': Centre's warning as Covid 2nd wave flattens

By | Edited by Poulomi Ghosh
Jun 04, 2021 05:58 PM IST

If people go back doing what they were doing in December and January, the situation will again turn worse, Niti Aayog (health) member VK Paul said on Friday.

As the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic has started flattening in the country with every state registering a significant dip in the number of daily infections and fatalities, the Centre on Friday issued a warning saying the situation has not improved because the virus has changed its mind. "If we again start doing what we were doing as a society in December, January, the situation can again go into a difficult phase," Niti Aayog (health) member VK Paul said.

The gains of containment, adhering to Covid appropriate behaviour should not be lost, the Centre said.
The gains of containment, adhering to Covid appropriate behaviour should not be lost, the Centre said.

"More of that we do higher will be the wave but if we proceed slowly and continue the tightrope walk, the wave will small. Maybe there will be no wave at all," he said.

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According to the health ministry's data, there has been a 68 per cent decline in daily cases from May 7, when the highest peak of the second wave was reported. Around 377 districts are reporting less than five per cent case positivity and only 257 districts are reporting more than 100 daily Covid-19 cases.

Covid-19: Four steps that can help India avoid a third wave

"This is not happening automatically. There are no crowds.. a price that we pay. But we have made it difficult for the virus to travel. But we have to remembers that when the peak is declining, if we start doing what we were doing in January, it will come back again. This is mathematically valid and also valid by common sense," Dr Paul said.

"If we suddenly go back to the situation of January, February, the next wave will be fast and will reach its peak faster. But if we maintain Covid appropriate behaviour, the wave will be smaller and may not come. We have to buy time to ensure that we achieve high coverage of vaccination before that," Dr Paul said.

According to experts, a third wave of the pandemic in India is very much possible the way the second wave struck the country. But its timing and impact can not be predicted as it will depend on the lifting of restrictions and the extend of vaccine coverage etc. It has also been predicted that the third wave might impact children for which state governments are ramping up Covid care facilities for children. The Centre has also issued guidelines for the care and protection of the children infected by Covid and fixed responsibilities for the states, district magistrates, police, Panchayati Raj institutions and urban local bodies.

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