2006 sixth warmest year in history

This can be attributed to rapidly rising population and increasing infrastructure in the coastal regions.

india Updated: Dec 16, 2006 10:30 IST

The current year is expected to go down in history as the sixth warmest year on record with prolonged drought in some regions, heavy rainfall and flooding in others and deadly typhoons in Southeast Asia.

But the human-induced global warming may not be the culprit with mischief being done by rising concentration of human populations and increasing infrastructure in the coastal region, scientists say.

The global mean surface temperature is currently estimated by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) to be 0.42 Celsius above the 1961-1990 annual average of 14C.

Many UN officials, agencies and reports blame human role in producing the greenhouse gases for global warming and the UN-backed Kyoto Protocol seeks to significantly reduce such emissions.

But just this week the WMO reported that no firm link can yet be drawn between human-induced climate change and variations in intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones.

The year also continues the pattern of sharply decreasing Arctic sea ice, with the September rate declining by some 8.59 per cent every decade, or 60,421 square kilometers per year.

The agency will not release final figures for 2006 until March, but preliminary findings show that, averaged separately, temperatures for the northern hemisphere (0.58C above a 30-year mean of 14.6C) are likely to be the fourth warmest and for the southern hemisphere (0.26C above a 30-year mean of 13.4C/56.12F) the seventh warmest in the instrumental record from 1861.

In both hemispheres, the period 1997-2006 averaged 0.53C and 0.27C above the 1961-1990 mean, respectively.

The beginning of 2006 was unusually mild in large parts of North America and the western European Arctic islands, though there were harsh winter conditions in Asia, Russia and parts of eastern Europe. Canada experienced its mildest winter and spring on record and the United States its warmest January-September on record.

Persistent extreme heat affected much of eastern Australia from late December 2005 until early March with many records being set, with the southern spring the warmest since seasonal records were first compiled in 1950.

Heat waves were also registered in Brazil from January until March and in several parts of Europe with record temperatures in July and August.

Long-term drought continued in parts of the Greater Horn of Africa including parts of Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia, and Tanzania and at least 11 million people were affected by food shortages. Somalia was hit by the worst drought in a decade. Drought also affected China, southern Brazil, parts of the US while in Australia, lack of rain added to significant longer-term dry conditions.

First Published: Dec 16, 2006 10:30 IST