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French Open men's singles preview, prediction: Stage set for first-ever Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Grand Slam final

French Open 2025: Will Court Philippe Chatrier stage the first Grand Slam final contest between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner?

Published on: May 24, 2025, 06:33:32 IST
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A rivalry that began in 2022, on the ATP tour, saw a maiden Grand Slam meeting a year later on the lush green Centre Court of Wimbledon in the round of 16. Two months later, the two put on an epic showdown with the New York crowd on its feet until 2:50 am. From the quarterfinal in the US Open, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner took it one step further when they clashed in the Roland Garros semifinal last year, delivering another five-set thriller. Can the same Court Philippe Chatrier witness the grand promotion to their rivalry and stage the first-ever Slam final featuring Alcaraz and Sinner, after both landed in opposite half of the draw?

Spain's Carlos Alcaraz (l) and Italy's Jannik Sinner (r) pose for pictures at the end of their men's singles final match for the ATP Rome Open (AFP)
Spain's Carlos Alcaraz (l) and Italy's Jannik Sinner (r) pose for pictures at the end of their men's singles final match for the ATP Rome Open (AFP)

FIRST QUARTER:

Sinner will have a tricky start, as he has been drawn against Arthur Rinderknech. The Frenchman, who will be the crowd favourite in the opening round-tie on Sunday, has beaten the Italian previously. Incidentally, it was their only encounter on clay. Sinner won the next two. He could set up a pre-quarters date with Arthur Fills, the highest-ranked localité, who had an impressive summer that saw him rise to a career-high ranking of 14. No. 5 seed Jack Draper, the reigning Indian Wells champion, who also reached the final in Madrid, could be waiting for him in the last eight. Sinner is 1-1 against the Brit.

Quarterfinal: Sinner beats Draper

SECOND QUARTER:

When was the last time a pre-Slam talk did not have any of the Big Three in the headlines? After Roger Federer's exit and Rafael Nadal's struggle with injury until his retirement last November, men's tennis was about Novak Djokovic and the Grand Slam limits he could set with his quest for ultimate greatness. But all until the Next Gen stood firm and said, 'Our time is now.' It's been almost 16 months since the Serb last won an ATP title - his longest drought. 2025 also witnessed a difficult start with a poor show in Monte Carlo and Madrid, before he split with coach Andy Murray, and then withdrew from the Rome Masters. The run left him seeded sixth in the Roland Garros draw, but luck played a stunning part in handing him an easy draw. Couple it with his run to the final in Geneva this week, which leaves him one behind a record-equaling 100th career title and Djokovic has a fair shot of causing a disruption, let alone end his wait for the unprecedented 25th major.

An out-of-form Daniil Medvedev in his half of the quarter is unlikely to leave the 3-year-old tensed. His most immediate threat is No. 3 seed Alexander Zverev, a potential quarterfinal opponent.

Quarterfinal: Djokovic beats Zverev

THIRD QUARTER:

This should have been Taylor Fritz's quarter, with the American, seeded No. 4, being handed an easy opportunity to break in a Slam semifinal for the first time in his career. But clay hasn't quite been his territory. This section of the draw could, however, be Lorenzo Musetti's quarter. The No. 8 seed reached the final in Monte Carlo, before making the semifinal in both Madrid and Rome. But he does have a threat in Holger Rune, who could set up a mouth-watering round of 16 clash.

Quarterfinalist: Musetti

FOURTH QUARTER:

Fresh from his title wins in Barcelona and Rome, Alcaraz is the overwhelming favourite in this part of the draw. His most likely opponent in the last eight could be two-time French Open finalist Casper Ruud, who lifted the title in Madrid a few weeks back. But the Spaniard holds a 4-1 record against the Norwegian.

Quarterfinal: Alcaraz beats Ruud.

Prediction -

Semifinal: Sinner beats Djokovic; Alcaraz beats Musetti.

Final: Alcaraz beats Sinner.

  • Aratrick Mondal
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Aratrick Mondal

    Aratrick Mondal is a senior sports journalist based in New Delhi. In his eight years as a sports writer, Aratrick has worked at leading media organisations, including The Times of India, Times Now, Zee, India TV and currently works at a senior position at Hindustan Times Digital. He writes on cricket, football, pickleball and tennis, among other sports. He has extensively covered India's evolving cricket landscape, the country's new-found love for private leagues such as Indian Pickleball League (IPBL), Ultimate Kho Kho League (UKK), Rugby Premier League (RPL) and several tennis leagues. He has closely covered emerging sports such as pickleball. His coverage of major franchise events lends an atmospheric flavor to his ground reports. His recent story on how SA20 (the domestic cricket league of South Africa) had opened up its grounds to create a carnival-like fan experience garnered major international attention, including appreciation from major cricketers. Tennis holds a special place in his heart. Aratrick has built a strong niche in analytical tennis stories—ranging from Grand Slam narratives and player profiles to tactical breakdowns and ranking trends. His long-form features often decode grand slams, career highs and lows of tennis greats and the upward trajectory of emerging stars. He also closely follows India's tennis landscape, having covered the Davis Cup, Bengaluru Open and Tata Open, among others. His reporting is backed by strong data capabilities, with hands-on experience using tools like Python, Tableau, and Excel to produce visually rich, insight-led stories. This data-first approach enhances accuracy, transparency, and trust. In leadership roles, he has managed editorial shifts, overseen homepage strategy, optimised SEO workflows, and mentored peers to deliver consistent, high-traffic journalism. He recently won the HT DigiStar award for the third quarter of financial year 2025-26. Aratrick is trusted for his balanced reportage, sound sourcing, and ability to translate complex sporting events into engaging narratives that speak to a wide audience. He believes sports is for everyone, not just for the enthusiasts and has a unique ability to bring people together - just like the sumptuous meals you'll often find him cooking on a weekend evening.Read More

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