Biden's popularity slides, Trump rises in New York - First GOP win in 40 years possible

Biden's popularity declines in New York, facing dissatisfaction within his own party.o

Donald Trump, the former president, is narrowing the gap between him and incumbent President Joe Biden in the deep-blue state of New York. Recent data from the Siena Research Institute reveals a significant shift in public opinion, indicating a potential crisis of popularity for the Democratic president.

Former President Donald Trump attends his civil business fraud trial at the New York Supreme Court, Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2023, in New York. (AP)

The latest poll, conducted among 1,225 registered voters, shows Biden leading Trump by a margin of 46 to 37 percent, a significant decrease from the 61 to 28 percent victory Biden secured over Trump in 2020. This drastic change suggests a decline in Biden's popularity, reflected in his worst-ever favorability (45 to 52 percent) and job approval ratings (46 to 51 percent). Alarmingly, 52 percent of Democrats expressed a desire for a different presidential nominee than Biden, indicating dissatisfaction within his own party.

Notably, the gap narrows further when including independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornell West, with Biden leading Trump 38 to 31 percent. Kennedy's entry into the race as an independent and West's departure from the Green Party have added unpredictable dynamics to the 2024 presidential race.

Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg remarked on the changing political landscape, stating, "Is New York still 'true blue?' True, 49 percent of voters are enrolled as Democrats and only 23 percent as Republicans... But also true is that just last year, a Republican came within seven points of being elected governor. And also true is that right now, Biden has his worst-ever New York favorability and job approval ratings."

This shift is particularly noteworthy in a state where the last Republican presidential candidate to secure majority support was Ronald Reagan in 1984. Analysts speculate that these developments might mark a turning point, challenging the traditional political norms of New York.

While Trump's resurgence is undeniable, the 2024 election remains over a year away. As the political landscape continues to evolve, both parties are gearing up for what promises to be a fiercely contested battle