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Muizzu's ‘Out India’ campaign in Maldives a political slogan devoid of reality

Maldives president-elect Muizzu's claim of Indian troops in the Maldives is baseless. There are no troops; only Indian humanitarian assets.

Published on: Nov 3, 2023, 19:26:35 IST
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Maldives president-elect Mohammed Muizzu's recent statement about removing Indian troops from the islands within a week of his inauguration has raised eyebrows and garnered attention, but the fact of the matter is that there are no Indian troops stationed in the Maldives. Muizzu's claim is a political slogan devoid of any basis in reality.

Maldives' President-elect of the Maldives' Mohamed Muizzu (R) of the People's National Congress (PNC) party. (AFP)
Maldives' President-elect of the Maldives' Mohamed Muizzu (R) of the People's National Congress (PNC) party. (AFP)

What India has in the Maldives are a couple of ALH helicopters and a Dornier aircraft used for medical evacuation, surveillance, and air rescue operations. These resources are deployed to assist the Maldivian government and its people. The Maldivian National Defence Force (MNDF) operates the helicopters, which fly under the Maldivian flag, and the Dornier aircraft lacks an Indian flag. To label these assets as "Indian troops" is not just a misrepresentation but a falsehood.

The 176 personnel associated with these assets are engaged primarily in medical evacuation and rescue missions for the benefit of the Maldivian population, not for Indian interests. Since 2019, they have undertaken 976 such missions, with air surveillance being a small fraction of their activities. Therefore, to claim that India maintains troops in the Maldives is a distortion of the truth.

It's important to understand the political context of Muizzu's statement. He hails from the party of former Maldivian President Abdullah Yameen, whose election campaign was centered around an anti-India stance. Yameen's pro-China leanings were evident during his tenure. However, his successor, Ibrahim Solih, adopted a more balanced approach, emphasizing the importance of maintaining strong ties with India, their nearest neighbour.

Muizzu must recognize that treaties and agreements govern the presence of these assets, and it's not a decision that can be made on a whim. The process for altering such arrangements is laid out clearly within these agreements, and it's not as simple as "removing Indian troops."

From a political perspective, Muizzu's statement could be a gambit to garner votes for his party in the upcoming Majilis election in April. He's playing the "Out India" card for political gain, and that's the real truth behind the current situation in the Maldives.

Moreover, the Maldives is facing the dire consequences of climate change, with rising sea levels threatening its existence. In the event of a serious crisis, the Maldives could find itself submerged, resulting in a potential refugee crisis. India is well-positioned to provide immediate humanitarian relief, not China. The presence of helicopters, Dornier aircraft, and coastal patrol vessels is in anticipation of such a scenario, as India is expected to be the first responder.

India has invested significantly in the Maldives, amounting to over 1.5 billion dollars, which is substantial considering the country's small population of half a million. This investment includes contributions through the State Bank of India (SBI), bonds, and treasury bills. The first repayment of 100 million dollars is expected by the end of this year, a sum that President-elect Muizzu doesn’t have.

It's high time for Muizzu to smell the coffee and realize that India is the Maldives' true ally. Instead of pushing the "Out India" campaign, he should focus on building a stronger partnership with India and consider an "Out China" campaign, which aligns with the Maldives' long-term interests and regional stability. The Maldives' well-being and prosperity depend on choosing its allies wisely, and India is the natural and reliable choice.

For India and the world, the Maldives hold significant strategic importance. Situated in a critical location, it is a conduit for two-thirds of global oil, half of bulk shipping, and nearly one-third of container shipping. Each day, 120 ships navigate through its waters. Any political instability or crisis in the Maldives or neighbouring Sri Lanka could have severe repercussions on global trade and maritime security. India, therefore, must exercise caution and ensure the stability of this region, as it directly affects its maritime security.

  • Shishir Gupta
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Shishir Gupta

    Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.Read More