Kamala Harris pulls ahead of Donald Trump in new poll from battleground state, here's how much VP is leading by

A new poll from the battleground state with the most Electoral College votes has revealed that Kamala Harris is pulling ahead of Donald Trump.

Published on: Nov 4, 2024, 11:21:02 IST

By Sumanti Sen

Prefer HTon Google

Share via

Copy link

A new poll from the battleground state with the most Electoral College votes has revealed that Kamala Harris is pulling ahead of Donald Trump. However, the vice president’s lead remains within the margin of error.

Kamala Harris pulls ahead of Donald Trump in new poll from battleground state (AP Photo) (AP)

Harris and Trump are competing for Pennsylvania’s 19 crucial electoral votes. Both the presidential candidates have repeatedly appeared in the state. In fact, Harris is set to hold a rally in Philadelphia the night before Election Day.

ALSO READ|HT in US: Special Coverage of the American elections by Prashant Jha

Who do the polls show?

Most of the polls in Pennsylvania show a narrow margin between Harris and Trump. According to the final pre-election Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of 460 likely voters, which was conducted from October 27 to 30 and published on Sunday, the vice president has a two-point lead over Trump, 49 to 47 percent.

Harris’ lead happens to be within the poll's margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points. This also marks a 1-point increase from a previous Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll of 450 likely state voters, which had been conducted from September 16 and 19. That poll showed that Harris and Trump were tied at 48 percent, and had a margin of error of plus or minus 6 percentage points.

ALSO READ|Catch all the newsmakers, detailed explainers and deep analysis of the US. Elections

Even though the election is closer than ever now, 2 percent of respondents said in Sunday’s poll that they still did not identify with either candidate. The respondents stated that they were "still unsure."

This poll too, like other polls, highlighted a gender and racial divide. It showed that Harris is favoured by women, 53 percent to Trump's 43 percent, and that Trump is leading among men, 52 percent to Harris' 43 percent. White voters backed Trump 54 percent to Harris' 43 percent. On the other hand, voters of colour supported Harris 66 percent to 27 percent.

As per other polls, the state is experiencing a very tight race. Trump was ahead in the state by 0.3 percentage points as of Sunday, according to three polling aggregates – 538, RealClearPolling, and Nate Silver's Silver Bulletin. According to The Times' aggregate polling, Trump is ahead 49 percent compared to Harris' 48 percent. Trump is up 0.7 points as per The Hill's aggregate polling, which is 48.8 to 48.1 percent.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Sumanti Sen
Sumanti Sen covers everything that’s happening in the US, from politics to entertainment, but her expertise lies in covering crime news. She has comprehensively chronicled the Idaho student murders, the Laken Riley and Iryna Zarutska cases, and the killing of Charlie Kirk, among other incidents. Over the years, she has interviewed several victims/families of victims of crimes seeking justice. She digs up stories that might otherwise remain unheard, and does her bit to ensure that victims and survivors’ voices are heard. Sumanti’s many years of experience also include interviews with Hamas attack survivors and mental health experts, among others. Her coverage of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and interviews with survivors of the tragedy, coupled with her other works including the Titan submersible coverage, earned her the Digi Journo of the Quarter award during her first year at Hindustan Times. Sumanti actively tracks missing person cases in the United States, and peruses Reddit and other social media platforms to bring to light cases that frequently elude public attention. She has extensively covered the disappearances of Nancy Guthrie, Thomas Medlin, Beau Mann, and Sudiksha Konanki, among others. When not at work, you will either find her with her novels, or with her beloved rescue pooches.Read More

Stay updated with US News covering politics, crime, weather, local events, and sports highlights. Get the latest on Donald Trump and American politics along with Horoscope 2026.