Was Imran Niazi hit by shrapnel of a ricocheting 9mm bullet?
While anything is possible in cynical Pakistani politics and its brutal deep state, the attack appears to be a warning shot to Niazi to stay away from his brand of power politics and his repeated run-ins with powerful Pakistani ISI and the Rawalpindi GHQ under General Qamar Jawed Bajwa.
Pakistan media reports quotes a former special assistant of health to former prime minister and PTI chief saying that fragments of bullets have been found in the leg of Imran Khan Niazi, who survived an attack at Wazirabad in Punjab by apparently a lone gunman during his march to Islamabad on Thursday evening.

The attacker was arrested immediately, his name, caste and confession leaked, and there were protests for the first time outside the house of Peshawar XI Corps Commander of Pakistan Army.
If the statement of Faisal Sultan, the former assistant to the prime minister on health, is correct then it is obvious that Imran Niazi was hit by splinters of a ricocheting 9mm bullet fired by the attacker. According to ballistics experts, 9 mm bullets splinter into shrapnel after hitting a hard surface, perhaps the truck carrying Niazi, and then hit the PTI chief.
Analysis of Pak media reports on his health condition indicate that Niazi did not take a direct hit from a 9mm slug and to that extent he avoided any serious injury to his leg. The only other plausible explanation of shell splinters is that the attacker used explosive bullets that fragment on impact. The normal 9 mm metal slug penetrates directly into target. The visuals of the Wazirabad shooting also do not show any overt bleeding from the former PM’s bandaged injured leg or any apparent visible deterioration of his health condition.

While anything is possible in Pakistani politics and its deep state, the attack appears to be a warning shot to Niazi to stay away from his brand of power politics and his repeated run-ins with powerful Pakistani ISI and the Rawalpindi GHQ under General Qamar Jawed Bajwa. It was a rare day on October 27 when Pakistan ISI Chief Lt Gen Nadeem Anjum came out to spill the beans on Niazi’s double-speak and his unscrupulousness to hold on to political power by any means.
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Exactly a week later, the attack happens, preceded by an alert of Lahore Police Counter-Terrorist-Department, and for the first time in the history of Pakistan a huge protest takes place outside the house of XI Corps commander and at other places in Punjab and Sindh. Imran Niazi used the attack to his advantage and named Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, Interior Minister Rana Sanaullah and a senior military officer for trying to kill him.

Although Pakistan PM Shehbaz Sharif, who had gone to pay tribute to Chinese leader Xi Jinping in Beijing this week, and other senior political leaders condemned the attack on Niazi, the incident will further destabilize the polity in the Islamic Republic with nuclear weapons. It will also raise questions whether Pakistan Army Chief Gen Qamar Jawed Bajwa should be allowed to demit office on November 29 when the country is going through a political turmoil with the former PM inciting his supporters to take on the Pakistan Army.
It is quite evident that political and economic turmoil in Pakistan will worsen further before it gets any better as today the credibility of not only the Pakistani politician but also the Army has hit an all time low. It is quite ironical that the same Niazi that Pakistan Army had pushed into political power against Nawaz Sharif has now come back to bite them.
As is reads now, the attack will not pre-pone Pakistan general elections except that there will be more political violence around the country, the Pakistan Army will fight back to regain its credibility under Gen Bajwa or his chosen successor and the public will economically suffer due to high inflation and repayment of IMF loans.
ABOUT THE AUTHORShishir GuptaShishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.Read More

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