Tamil Nadu Exit Polls highlights: Today's Chanakya predicts DMK lead in exit poll result; strong debut for Vijay's TVK

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Today's Chanakya has predicted a comfortable lead for the DMK-led alliance in Tamil Nadu. Vijay's TVK is set for a strong debut. The seat projection stands at -

DMK+ - 125-136

AIADMK/NDA - 45-56

TVK - 63-74

Others - 0-2

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Today's Chanakya will be releasing its exit poll for the Tamil Nadu assembly elections at 6pm today.

In previous exit polls, the DMK and Congress alliance is set to retain its seats in the state, with one pollster (JVC) predicted a sweep for the NDA alliance.

Meanwhile, Axis My India predicted a DMK lead, with a surprise and strong debut from actor Vijay-led TVK.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Union Minister Dharmendra Pradhan on Thursday said that the NDA alliance will emerge in Tamil Nadu. The BJP leader, while speaking to reporters, said that the BJP is “confident” that the NDA alliance will emerge victorious.

Based on the exit poll predictions released on Wednesday, pollsters have predicted a win for the DNK and Congress alliance in the state, but after a tight contest with the NDA and AIADMK alliance.

However, one pollster - JVC - gave a clear sweep prediction for the NDA alliance in the state.

The result for the Tamil Nadu assembly elections will be declared on May 4 by the Election Commission of India.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Tamil Nadu went to the polls in a single phase on April 23. As per the data issued by the Election Commission, the total voter turnout in the state stood at 85.1% per cent. The final voter turnout for the state is awaited.

In the previous assembly elections in 2021, the voter turnout in Tamil Nadu was recorded at 73.63 per cent.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Karnataka minister Priyank Kharge on Thursday slammed the BJP for its alleged collusion with the Election Commission of India. Kharge's remarks come after the exit poll predictions on Wednesday.

On exit polls prediction, the Karnataka Minister said, "Let's see what the people will ultimately decide... the BJP is extremely happy or jumping with joy only for the fact that they have the Chief Election Commissioner (Gyanesh Kumar) on their side, and they have the delimitation done as per their whims and fancies. They are banking on that, but ultimately the people will decide. On May 4th, you will see extremely surprising results..."

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Another major polster - Today's Chankaya - will be releasing the exit polls for the Tamil Nadu assembly elections 2026 at 6 PM.

Pollsters such as Peoples Pulse, Matrize and P-Marq predicted a DMK government in Tamil Nadu,

However, JVC exit polls projected that the NDA alliance, which includes the AIADMK and the BJP, will emerge as the single-largest formation in the state.

Meanwhile, Axis My India made the most striking prediction, saying that actor Vijay’s party, TVK, on its debut, could win between 98 and 120 seats in Tamil Nadu, becoming the single-largest party.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: TVK leader K A Sengottaiyan on Thursday rejected the findings of various exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections.

"He (Vijay) will win in 200 seats, and he will rule Tamil Nadu. This has already been decided by the people," Sengottaiyan told reporters.

Predicting a landslide win, the senior leader added that the state is on the verge of a historic political shift that defies current projections.

"In the history of Tamil Nadu and the country, we have seen the Green Revolution, the White Revolution, and the Socialist Revolution. Now, the 'Whistle Revolution' of our leader Thalapathy will be known not just in Tamil Nadu, but globally. This is what is going to happen," Sengottaiyan was quoted as saying by ANI.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: While the majority of pollsters, such as People's Pulse, Matrize, P-Marq and Kamakhya Analytics, predicted a tight contest between the DMK and AIADMK alliances in the state, Axis My India predicted a strong debut for TVK and Vijay.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Congress chief Mallikarjun Kharge expressed confidence that the DMK-led alliance will return to power in Tamil Nadu after exit poll predictions.

"Now, some results are showing clearly in some places. Some results have created a bit of confusion. But, to the extent I feel, I have a hope that a clear majority for DMK might come in Tamil Nadu; I have spoken about it there as well. Similarly, in Kerala, our people have already told me that UDF will come with a majority," he said.

A day after returning from a four-day vacation in Kodaikanal, Tamil Nadu chief minister M K Stalin held a high-level meeting with senior DMK leaders at the party headquarters to review the party’s prospects of winning the assembly polls held on April 23. The results will be declared on May 4.

The meeting came after exit polls suggested that the DMK is likely to return to power in the state.

Among those present were DMK general secretary Durai Murugan and ministers including MRK Panneerselvam and EV Velu, among others.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: As exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly elections sparked political reactions, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) leader and Erode West Assembly constituency candidate K.K. Anand Mohan on Tuesday asserted that the party remains confident of forming the government with a clear majority.

Speaking to ANI, Anand Mohan said that the party does not attach any significance to exit poll predictions and expressed confidence that TVK founder Thalapathy Vijay will form the government on May 4 with more than 150 seats.

"Despite various exit polls coming out, we do not care about them. Vijay will form the government on May 4 with a single majority after winning more than 150 seats," he said.

(via ANI)

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) Executive Committee Chief Coordinator KA Sengottaiyan on Thursday stated that the party is hopeful of a strong debut in the state, especially after pollsters preidcted a strong share for TVK.

The party's chief coordinator exuded confidence over the party's prospects and claiming that public response would "astonish the entire nation."

Speaking to ANI, Sengottaiyan said, "The scale of public response would astonish the entire nation, adding that such an overwhelming level of 'whistle sound' has never been witnessed in world history and that the reality would be evident on the 4th May."

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Actor-turned politician Vijay's TVK is set for a blockbuster performance in Tamil Nadu assembly polls, according to Axis My India exit poll, which also noted that the party is poised to get as much vote share as DMK in its debut election.

The exit poll projected that the seven-party alliance led by the DMK would get 92-100 seats, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) 98-120 seats and the five-party alliance led by AIADMK would get 22-32 seats.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next Chief Minister. While Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those surveyed, the support was 37 per cent for Vijay.

Several other exit polls predicted that the alliance led by the ruling DMK will return to power in the state

People Pulse projected 125-145 seats for the DMK-led alliance and the AIADMK-led alliance which also includes the BJP, getting 65-80 seats. It projected Vijay's Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) getting two to six seats

Tamil Nadu has 234 assembly seats. (ANI)

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) spokesperson Radhan Pandit on Wednesday claimed that actor-turned politician "Vijay will become the Chief Minister" and dismissed the exit poll projections released soon after the conclusion of polling for the second phase of West Bengal assembly elections.

"We are just ignoring these exit polls. I am sure we are going to sweep this election by above 170 or above 140. We studied very well. We had our personal survey. We are sure about a minimum 45% of vote-banking. It's not between 20-25 per cent... 108 hours to go for the election counting... 109th hour, we are going to take the oath. Our Vijay will become the Chief Minister extraordinarily...," Pandit told ANI.

Actor-turned politician Vijay's TVK is set for a blockbuster performance in Tamil Nadu assembly polls, according to Axis My India exit poll, which also noted that the party is poised to get as much vote share as DMK in its debut election.

The exit poll projected that the seven-party alliance led by the DMK would get 92-100 seats, Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) 98-120 seats and the five-party alliance led by AIADMK would get 22-32 seats.

According to Axis My India, Vijay is ahead of Chief Minister MK Stalin in terms of choice for the next Chief Minister. While Stalin was supported by 35 per cent of those surveyed, the support was 37 per cent for Vijay. (ANI)

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls LIVE: The People’s Pulse exit poll for the Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026 indicates a clear lead for the DMK-INC+ alliance.

Seat Projection (People’s Pulse)

DMK-INC+: 125–145

NDA: 65–80

TVK: 18–24

Others: 2–6

Total Seats: 234

With the majority mark at 118, the DMK-INC+ alliance appears comfortably placed to form the government if these numbers hold.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Actor-turned-politician Vijay has edged past incumbent MK Stalin as the preferred chief ministerial choice among voters in Tamil Nadu, according to the latest projections by Axis My India.

The pollster's survey found that 37% of respondents backed Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) chief as their choice for the next chief minister, placing him slightly ahead of current chief minister MK Stalin, who secured 35% support.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: The P-Marq exit poll also places the DMK-INC+ alliance ahead in Tamil Nadu.

Seat Projection (P-Marq)

DMK-INC+: 125–145

NDA: 65–85

TVK: 16–26

Others: 1–6

Total Seats: 234

This projection suggests a comfortable lead for DMK-INC+, with NDA trailing and TVK holding a limited share.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: In Tamil Nadu, the DMK-INC+ alliance is projected to bag a comfortable win by most pollsters while one, JVC, has predicted a win for the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) with 128-147 seats in the 234-seat state assembly.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: All pollsters predicted a victory for the ruling DMK+ in Tamil Nadu, with some giving it a slight edge and others forecasting a comfortable victory. Axis My India predicted 92-110 seats for DMK, and between 22-32 seats for AIADMK. Matrize predicted a victory for the DMK+, forecasting 122-132 seats, while giving the AIADMK-led alliance 87-100 seats.

P-Marq projected between 125-145 seats for DMK+, followed by AIADMK-led NDA alliance at 65-85 seats. A similar projection was made by People's Pulse, which gave DMK+ 125-145 seats, and NDA 65-80 seats.

Departing from other pollsters, JVC predicted 128-147 seats for AIADMK-led NDA, and 75-95 seats for DMK+. Kamakhya Analytics predicted 78-95 seats for DMK+, and 68-84 for the AIADMK-led alliance.

The main contest in the state was between the DMK-led alliance and the NDA. The DMK-led Secular Progressive Alliance (SPA) includes the Indian National Congress, Desiya Murpokku Dravida Kazhagam (DMDK), and Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi (VCK).

Meanwhile, the NDA is led by AIADMK in the Tamil Nadu, with the BJP and Pattali Makkal Katchi (PMK) as allies.

The overall voter turnout in Tamil Nadu, which voted in a single phase on April 23, stood at 82.24 per cent by 5 pm, according to Election Commission of India figures. Polling for all 234 Assembly constituencies concluded at 6 pm.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Actor-turned-politician Vijay has edged past incumbent MK Stalin as the preferred chief ministerial choice among voters in Tamil Nadu, according to the latest projections by Axis My India.

The pollster's survey found that 37% of respondents backed Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) chief as their choice for the next chief minister, placing him slightly ahead of current chief minister MK Stalin, who secured 35% support.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: With pollster predictions out on Wednesday, exit polls project a victory for the incumbent MK Stalin-led Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) government in the 2026 Assembly elections in Tamil Nadu. However, throwing up a surprise, some pollsters have predicted an influential debut for Vijay and his party, the Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam.

Tamil Nadu Exit Polls 2026: Exit polls for the Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections 2026 present a mixed picture, with most pollester placing the DMK-INC+ alliance ahead, while one survey points to a sharply different outcome.

Seat projections across pollsters

People’s Pulse

DMK-INC+: 125–145

NDA: 65–80

TVK: 18–24

Others: 2–6

Matrize

DMK-INC+: 122–132

NDA: 87–100

TVK: 10–12

Others: 0–6

P-Marq

DMK-INC+: 125–145

NDA: 65–85

TVK: 16–26

Others: 1–6

Axis My India

DMK-INC+: 92–110

NDA: 22–32

TVK: 98–120