ORG predicts NDA victory
The BJP-led NDA is likely to secure majority with 282 seats while Congress and its allies, are likely to improve their performance with 165 seats in the coming Lok Sabha polls, according to an opinion poll conducted by market research agency ORG-MARG for Aaj-Tak TV news channel, India Today magazine and Dainik Bhaskar newspaper.
The survey, which covered a sample of 51,000 people across the country in the last week of March and first week of April, predicted a clean sweep by the saffron party in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat but gave an emphatic win for Congress-NCP alliance in Maharashtra with 28 of the 48 seats leaving 18 for BJP-Shiv Sena alliance.
In the crucial state of Uttar Pradesh, where there are a total of 80 seats, BJP was expected to top the list with 35 seats followed by SP-RLD (25) and BSP (11) said the poll.
The Congress was unlikely to register major gains in UP despite the entry of Rahul Gandhi and likely to win just eight seats just behind Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party with 11 seats, it said.
The RJD-LJP-Congress combine was expected to capture 14 seats in Bihar while the NDA will be getting 25 seats according to the poll. There are 40 seats in the state.
The poll predicted major gains for Congress-NCP alliance in Maharashtra which was likely to win 28 of the 48 seats while the BJP-Shiv Sena tally was at 18 in a reversal of the 1999 Lok Sabha poll outcome.
In Gujarat, BJP was likely to win 23 of the total of 26 seats while Congress was expected to secure just three. In Madhya Pradesh, the ruling party was likely to get 27 out of 29 seats and in Rajasthan 19 against the six of Congress.
Acccording to the poll, 51 per cent of the people in the sample survey favoured Atal Bihari Vajpayee as the country's Prime Minister while only one-fourth voted for Congress Chief Sonia Gandhi for the top job. Only one per cent of the people were in favour of Deputy Prime Minister LK Advani.
NDA was expected to get 43.7 of the votes while the Congress was likely to secure 33.7 per cent of the votes, the survey said.