RS, VS polls: Horse-trading expected
THE STAGE appears set for a tough electoral battle for the Rajya Sabha and Vidhan Parishad elections in the State on March 28. Under the prevailing political situation, horse-trading is expected.india Updated: Mar 20, 2006 01:17 IST
THE STAGE appears set for a tough electoral battle for the Rajya Sabha and Vidhan Parishad elections in the State on March 28. Under the prevailing political situation, horse-trading is expected.
Already, Chief Minister Mulayam Singh Yadav has given largess to more than a dozen MLAs to keep them in good humour. Moreover, the mafiosi-turned MLAs have become hyperactive and could surprise poll pundits. They have fielded an independent Delhi-based businessman Sudhanshu Mittal for the Rajya Sabha He is said to be close to the BJP.
While in the last elections major political parties had managed to avoid polling, this possibility now seems to be remote, as there are 13 candidates for 10 Rajya Sabha seats and 14 names have been cleared for 13 seats for Vidhan Sabha. However, a final picture would emerge after withdrawal of nominations on Monday.
The decision about another Parishad candidate Pradeep Singh would be made tomorrow. Congress Legislature Party (CLP) leader Pramod Tiwari had raised objections over Singh’s nomination papers and the decision of returning officer RP Pandey is awaited.
While for Rajya Sabha the candidate would have to garner 37 first preference votes to win the election, for Vidhan Parishad 29 votes would be required to win a seat.
In the highly unpredictable numbers game, the role of 38 BSP breakaway group members has become extremely crucial for the ruling Samajwadi Party to ensure victory for all its six candidates, including one Rashtriya Lok Dal nominee. Five of the BSP rebels had already announced to rejoin the parent party after the High Court judgment but 33 MLAs are still sticking with the SP, totaling 189 MLAs. The RLD has 15 MLAs.
Under the prevailing situation both SP and BSP would issue whips to these rebels to vote for their respective candidates and pressure them for “open vote” as per recent amended law.
While the SP would require 222 first preference votes for the victory of its six candidates the BSP needs 111 votes for its three candidates for the Rajya Sabha. The SP could get this figure only with the help of 16 independents and splinter groups.
The Congress is in the fray with just 16 votes. The BJP with 83 votes has fielded only two candidates for Rajya Sabha. It has nine surplus votes.
For the Vidhan Parishad the SP-RLD alliance is on edge to ensure victory to all seven candidates. After departure of five BSP rebels, the alliance has 204 MLAs, including 33 BSP rebels. The alliance requires 203 votes for seven nominees. But the BSP with 72 MLAs, including five rebels, would find it difficult to ensure the victory of its third candidate without making a dent into other parties.
The BSP would require 87 votes. Similarly, the BJP, which has 83 MLAs, is short of four votes to win all three seats. Again the Congress is hanging in balance with just 15 MLAs. Since there is no provision of an “open vote” in the Vidhan Parishad, the possibility of cross voting is quite high.