Pentagon gives reality check to Trump, claims China poised for decisive victory over Taiwan by 2027

A new Pentagon draft report has set off alarm bells in Washington, warning that China believes it can fight and win a Taiwan conflict by 2027. The assessment paints a picture of rapid military expansion, from mass missile deployments to growing nuclear capabilities and increasingly aggressive PLA activity near the island. U.S. war games, intelligence estimates, and shifting balances in the Western Pacific all point to a narrowing window for deterrence. As Beijing sharpens its options and Taiwan races to upgrade defenses, the Taiwan question appears to be entering a far more dangerous and decisive phase.