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Who is Shayne Coplan? Polymarket CEO’s house raided by FBI after betting platform predicts Trump win

The FBI raided the house of Shayne Coplan, the CEO of Polymarket, a prediction market platform that accurately predicted Donald Trump's win.

Published on: Nov 14, 2024, 17:04:09 IST
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The FBI raided the house of Shayne Coplan, the CEO of Polymarket, a prediction market platform that accurately predicted Donald Trump's win in the presidential election.

A source close to Coplan claimed that the FBI's move might have political motivations because Polymarket's market forecasts differed from conventional surveys, which indicated that Trump's win over Vice President Kamala Harris.
A source close to Coplan claimed that the FBI's move might have political motivations because Polymarket's market forecasts differed from conventional surveys, which indicated that Trump's win over Vice President Kamala Harris.

During the operation, the law enforcement agency confiscated Coplan's phone and other electronic equipment. However, no arrest was made.

Polymarket confirmed the incident after New York Post's report.

What was the reason behind raid? FBI stays mum as Musk reacts

According to the Post, the FBI did not give Coplan, 26, a reason for an early morning raid, but the agents asked him to submit his phone and other personal devices.

A source close to Coplan claimed that the move might have political motivations because Polymarket's market forecasts differed from conventional surveys, which indicated that Trump's win over Vice President Kamala Harris.

Meanwhile, Brian Armstrong, the CEO of Coinbase, condemned the law enforcement move and claimed on X that it will eventually strengthen Polymarket.

Elon Musk, the richest man in the world, also denounced the event, saying: “This seems messed up.”

‘It’s discouraging', says Shayne Coplan after FBI raid

The source conjectured that the government may attempt to accuse Polymarket of manipulating the market to benefit Trump. Nonetheless, a representative for Polymarket called the platform “fully transparent prediction market,” adding that it “allows worldwide observers to analyze data as a public resource” and it “charges no fees, and takes no trading positions.”

Coplan, who was neither arrested nor charged, responded to X in jest, saying, “New phone, who dis?”

Also Read: Danica Patrick reveals amount Trump campaign gave her to endorse him, takes dig at Harris supporter Megan Thee Stallion

The search follows Coplan's recent announcement that Polymarket intends to resume US operations. Prior to election day, Harris had a 41.4% chance of winning, while Trump had a 58.6% chance, as per Polymarket.

According to Forbes, billionaire Trump backer Peter Thiel has also made significant investments in Polymarket, raising over USD 70 million.

Polymarket was forced to suspend US trading in 2022 and pay the Commodity Futures Trading Commission a USD 1.4 million fine for engaging in unregistered activities.

  • Shweta Kukreti
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Shweta Kukreti

    Shweta Kukreti has over 8 years of experience in covering Indian and world politics. She joined the Hindustan Times in 2024 and is primarily assigned to the US desk. She currently works as Deputy Chief Content Producer and reports on a wide range of topics, including US politics, immigration issues (especially H-1B visa) and major global events. Shweta strongly emphasizes team operations, which encompasses monitoring news, delegating tasks, editing, developing comprehensive coverage strategies, and crafting engaging, and data-informed narratives. She received the Digi Star Award at the Hindustan Times within a year of joining for her broad coverage of US politics. In 2025, she earned both a promotion and a redesignation, a significant achievement recognising her contributions and the strong value she brings to the team. She has previously worked with the Indian Express, HTDS, ANI and Republic World. Seniors in all the media organisations recognised her work. Regarding education, she earned a BA (Hons.) in Political Science and a master's degree from Delhi University, and she pursued a PG Diploma in English Journalism from the Indian Institution of Mass Communication (IIMC). She also holds a diploma in Women's Empowerment and Development from IGNOU University and a French certification course from Alliance Française de Delhi. If not working, you can find her exploring the hills and engaging in adventurous activities in Rishikesh and Himachal Pradesh. She loves to play badminton, volleyball, and chess, and spend time with her friends and family. She also enjoys spiritual activities.Read More

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