Lok Sabha elections 2019: ‘People fed up with Trinamool, mood in Bengal is for change’, says Himanta Biswa Sarma
Sarma, who leads one of the 20 special teams deployed by BJP president Amit Shah with a special focus on West Bengal, said the state will throw up a “big surprise” in the Lok Sabha elections.
Himanta Biswa Sarma, Assam’s finance and PWD minister and convener of the North East Democratic Alliance (NEDA), spoke to Shishir Gupta about the Bharatiya Janata Party’s (BJP) election battle in West Bengal against the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC). Sarma, who leads one of the 20 special teams deployed by BJP president Amit Shah with a special focus on West Bengal, said the state will throw up a “big surprise” in the Lok Sabha elections. Present in Kolkata on the day of the BJP chief’s roadshow, Sarma also spoke about issues ranging from the Citizenship Amendment Bill to the Opposition’s onslaught. Edited excerpts:

I think the mood in Bengal is overall for a change. People are fed up with the rule of TMC, particularly criminalisation. Here, you will see it is a total criminalisation of politics. Everywhere, there will be one mastaan (goon) who will control one area... I think people are fed up, people are fed up with the appeasement kind of politics and I am sure that Bengal is heading for a big surprise.
In a political sense, you can say that CPI (M) votes are being transferred to the BJP; this is one part of the story. But I believe that the CPI(M), Congress and TMC — the right-thinking people of all these three parties are voting for PM Modi.
This is a big problem. You have to see the number of votes that are being cast and the amount of rigging. The whole election result will be [determined by] whether the impact of rigging is higher or impact of voting is higher.
When we calculate 21-22 seats in this election, from a purely political point of view, we are deducting a portion of votes that are being cast on the strength of rigging.
Then, we find out what is the net number. But that net number [for BJP seats] is also very high, because they are not doing rigging inside the centre.
They are threatening people from 48 hours before the polling in the local village. They have taken their Aadhaar cards, they have taken their Voter IDs.
They say until you vote for the TMC, you will not get these identity cards back. People plead before them they say, ‘We will vote for the TMC’, then these cards are returned... The behaviour of Mamata Banerjee in the last 48 hours has convinced me that Bengal is headed for a big surprise.
It is. In Bengal, the politics is such that the bureaucracy knows that after May 23, we have to work with Mamata Banerjee. The Election Commission has to think on certain issues very seriously.
Also read: ‘Bengal results will be a big surprise’: Himanta Biswa Sarma
They are totally afraid. You have seen an IPS officer commit suicide. In the suicide note, he named the CM. So you can imagine the range of terror in Bengal.
You can imagine the range of terror [over the issue] of one lady [BJP activist Priyanka Sharma who was arrested for sharing a meme on Mamata Banerjee. She was granted bail by the Supreme Court on Tuesday] who has just shared a Facebook post.
It was not being done by her. It was posted by somebody else, she just shared it. The local councillor filed the FIR against the lady who has shared the post. But in the FIR, he has not even mentioned that another person has posted it. It is pure vendetta.
Bengal has tremendous respect for Prime Minister Modi. This is a vote for Modi. People are saying that they will vote for Modi. The Prime Minister’s image is single-handedly responsible for the BJP upsurge that you are seeing in Bengal today. Then, we have established a huge organisational network in the last three years. Amit Shah visited Bengal many times. He has posted his trusted and efficient organisational people in Bengal.
You cannot distinguish between Modi and development. I think it is a vote for nationalism as well a vote for development. It is not only for development, people are also voting against appeasement, people are voting for a strong leader and people are also voting for the nationalistic ideology.
In Assam, we updated NRC without the Citizenship Amendment Bill. This has created a problem also because many Hindu refugees who came from Bangladesh over time are facing problem... Although through appeals, claims and objections, the Supreme Court is trying to mitigate the sufferings of the people. But still Hindu people are suffering... It is a major suffering. What our party president is saying [is], ‘First pass the Citizenship Amendment Bill, which will give citizenship to Hindu, Christian, Buddhist minority of Bangladesh, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Then you do NRC to find out the illegal migrants.’
Also read: RSS tweaks outreach plan to boost polling on May 19
Sadly, the Congress has disappeared from the scene except in two constituencies. It is missing in action. You’ll not see Congress party except in two constituencies of Bengal — Jangipur and Berhampore.
And the Congress has also surrendered before Mamata Banerjee. That is one part of the story. Rahul Gandhi has surrendered before Mamata Banerjee. The CPI(M) is trying to put resistance somewhere but they are also limited in pockets... Post 23rd [May], Bengal politics will be a straightforward match between TMC and BJP. The Congress and CPI(M) will disappear further. The process of dismantling will be further expedited.
In a big way.
I’ll be very conservative and I’ll say the number will be 20, give or take 10%. That will be my own assessment but party cadre here have said that it won’t be less than 22.
ABOUT THE AUTHORShishir GuptaShishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.Read More

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