Could Andrew Cuomo beat Zohran Mamdani in a head-to-head race? Here's what new poll says

A new AtlasIntel survey has dropped, showing Zohran Mamdani with 43.9% of support, and revealing new details about Andrew Cuomo.

Published on: Nov 4, 2025, 05:38:47 IST

By Sumanti Sen

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A new poll has found that Andrew Cuomo would beat Democratic front-runner Zohran Mamdani in a head-to-head race. The new AtlasIntel survey dropped on Monday, October 3, showing Mamdani with 43.9% of support. Independent mayoral hopeful Cuomo, on the other hand, comes second with 39.4% of support.

Could Andrew Cuomo beat Zohran Mamdani in a head-to-head race? Here's what new poll says (Photographer: Christian Monterrosa/Bloomberg, REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)

Curtis Silwa, a GOP nominee, is in the third place at 15.5%. Just over 1% of voters would not vote, or were undecided about it.

AtlasIntel shared on X, “Mamdani (D) leads with 43.9% of the vote (+3.3 since Oct. 30), while Cuomo (I) trails close behind at 39.4% (+5.4 since Oct. 30). With Sliwa (R) dropping 8.6pp, the gap between Mamdani and Cuomo decreased to 4.5pp.”

What to know about the poll

The poll surveyed just over 2,400 voters. Just a day before, the same polling outfit had Cuomo trailing Mamdani by six points. The poll has a margin of error of 2 percentage points, according to the New York Post.

Cuomo tops Mamdani 49.7% to 44.1% when it comes to a hypothetical two-way race. However, the outlet noted that the party breakdown of those surveyed overestimates the Republican and independent vote, but the Democratic vote is downplayed.

Early voting had Democrats accounting for just over 73% of the votes. GOP voters were at around 11% and independents at just under 15%. However, Democrats are at just 59% according to this poll, while Republican voters are at 19% and independents at nearly 22%.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Sumanti Sen
Sumanti Sen covers everything that’s happening in the US, from politics to entertainment, but her expertise lies in covering crime news. She has comprehensively chronicled the Idaho student murders, the Laken Riley and Iryna Zarutska cases, and the killing of Charlie Kirk, among other incidents. Over the years, she has interviewed several victims/families of victims of crimes seeking justice. She digs up stories that might otherwise remain unheard, and does her bit to ensure that victims and survivors’ voices are heard. Sumanti’s many years of experience also include interviews with Hamas attack survivors and mental health experts, among others. Her coverage of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and interviews with survivors of the tragedy, coupled with her other works including the Titan submersible coverage, earned her the Digi Journo of the Quarter award during her first year at Hindustan Times. Sumanti actively tracks missing person cases in the United States, and peruses Reddit and other social media platforms to bring to light cases that frequently elude public attention. She has extensively covered the disappearances of Nancy Guthrie, Thomas Medlin, Beau Mann, and Sudiksha Konanki, among others. When not at work, you will either find her with her novels, or with her beloved rescue pooches.Read More

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