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Watch ‘polling Nostradamus’ Allan Lichtman react as he realises his US election prediction was wrong, ‘Democracy’s gone’

Allan Lichtman, a historian with a track record of poll predictions, had predicted that Kamala Harris had the winning chance in this US election race.

Published on: Nov 7, 2024, 08:35:40 IST
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A video showed how an American political historian known as the ‘Nostradamus’ of elections reacted when he realised his prediction of the outcome of the US election was wrong. Allan Lichtman, a historian and author with a track record of poll predictions, had predicted that Kamala Harris had the winning chance in this US election race.

Watch ‘polling Nostradamus’ Allan Lichtman react as he realises his US election prediction was wrong (Allan Lichtman/Youtube)
Watch ‘polling Nostradamus’ Allan Lichtman react as he realises his US election prediction was wrong (Allan Lichtman/Youtube)

‘Oh, the democracy’s gone’

Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of nine of the 10 elections since 1984. In a livestream, he was captured repeatedly saying “I don’t get it” as it began to become evident that Donald Trump would win.

Lichtman, 77, and his son Sam Lichtman, reacted in real time as the results began coming in. “This is the first moment of the night where I’ve lost hope a little bit,” Sam said as media outlets called Pennsylvania for Trump.

Lichtman, visibly frustrated by the narrow possibility of his prediction coming true, rubbed his eyes and said, “Good thing I have nothing to do tomorrow. And I’m not doing any interviews.”

The American University professor had put his money on Harris this year. Both Lichtmans grew visibly flustered as the livestream neared its end with Trump moving ahead in the swing states. At one point, Lichtman said there was “nothing positive” for Harris in the data.

“Oh, the democracy’s gone,” he said. “Once democracy’s gone, it’s almost impossible to recover. The way to recover is by the dictators losing wars.”

Sam, on the other hand, said he hopes Trump serves his term and “we never have to deal with him again.” “I’ve said it a hundred times,” his father replied. “Democracy is precious, but like all precious things, it can be destroyed. And typically destroyed from within. And throughout the 21st century, democracy has been in decline everywhere around the world, and America has now fallen in step. But never give up hope.”

  • Sumanti Sen
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Sumanti Sen

    Sumanti Sen covers everything that’s happening in the US, from politics to entertainment, but her expertise lies in covering crime news. She has comprehensively chronicled the Idaho student murders, the Laken Riley and Iryna Zarutska cases, and the killing of Charlie Kirk, among other incidents. Over the years, she has interviewed several victims/families of victims of crimes seeking justice. She digs up stories that might otherwise remain unheard, and does her bit to ensure that victims and survivors’ voices are heard. Sumanti’s many years of experience also include interviews with Hamas attack survivors and mental health experts, among others. Her coverage of the October 7 Hamas attack on Israel and interviews with survivors of the tragedy, coupled with her other works including the Titan submersible coverage, earned her the Digi Journo of the Quarter award during her first year at Hindustan Times. Sumanti actively tracks missing person cases in the United States, and peruses Reddit and other social media platforms to bring to light cases that frequently elude public attention. She has extensively covered the disappearances of Nancy Guthrie, Thomas Medlin, Beau Mann, and Sudiksha Konanki, among others. When not at work, you will either find her with her novels, or with her beloved rescue pooches.Read More

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