Bihar exit poll 2025: MGB to give tough fight but its NDA again, no fire by JSP, pollsters predict

Bihar exit poll results 2025: Pollsters predicted a clear win for the NDA, forecasting the Mahagathbandhan at a distant second place and giving Prashant Kishor's JSP zero to five seats.

Bihar exit poll results 2025: The updates to this live blog have ended. The exit poll projections for the 2025 Bihar assembly elections have been released, with most pollsters forecasting a big win for the BJP-JDU-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), placing the Mahagathbandhan at a distant second position. However, Axis My India projected a narrow win for the NDA with a range of 121-141 seats, and gave the Mahagathbandhan 98-118 seats.

Exit poll projections were released for the Bihar assembly elections from 6:30 pm on Tuesday, shortly after the conclusion of the voting for the second and final phase of the polls.

Exit poll figures may differ from the actual results, which will be announced on November 14 when counting begins at 8 am under heavy security across all 38 districts.

What is exit poll?

An exit poll is a post-voting survey aimed at understanding voter preferences and predicting the likely outcome of an election. These polls, which are carried out after voters leave the polling stations, gauge how the demographic voted and why.

While they may not always be accurate, they capture the voter sentiment and offer insights into the possible trends and swing patterns before the official results are announced.

Read a detailed explainer on Exit polls here

Bihar exit poll 2025 | Key points

-Bihar election voting: Polling for the Bihar assembly election was conducted in two phases, on November 6 and 11. The counting of votes for the Bihar assembly polls will take place on Friday, November 14.

-Bihar exit poll results: Most released their exit poll projections on Tuesday evening itself, shortly after the conclusion of the second and final phase of voting. Axis My India and Today's Chanakya rolled out their predictions a day later, on Wednesday. Most pollsters projected a comfortable win for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), while placing the Mahagathbandhan at a distant second place. Only Axis My India's projections forecast a narrow win for the NDA.

-The PK factor: Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party, which many thought would emerge as the top contender in the 2025 Bihar assembly polls, failed to make any significant mark in the state. Most pollsters gave Kishor's party a range of 0-5 seats.

-Bihar election voting percentage: The first phase saw a voter turnout of 65.08 per cent, and the second phase recorded 69.20 per cent voter turnout. The Election Commission on Tuesday announced that Bihar registered a "historic high" overall voter turnout of 66.91 per cent. This is the highest such percentage recorded in the state since 1951.

-Majority mark in Bihar: The 243-member Bihar assembly requires a simple majority mark of 122 seats to form the government in the state.

Pinned

Nov 12, 2025, 22:30:03 IST

Bihar exit poll results 2025: Pollsters predict NDA return, Mahagathbandhan given 32-118, PK's Jan Suraaj misses out

Final exit poll projections for the 2025 Bihar assembly elections are in, with pollsters forecasting a clear win for the BJP-JDU-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) at a range of 121-209 seats. Meanwhile, the Mahagathbandhan has been placed at a distant second position with a range of 32-118 seats. However, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraaj Party, which many thought would leave a significant mark, has appeared to have made little impact in Bihar.

Only Axis My India projected a narrow win for the NDA with a range of 121-141 seats for the BJP-JDU-led alliance, giving the opposition group 98-118 seats, 0-2 to Jan Suraaj, and 1-5 to Others.