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PM Modi to ask military to keep pace with changing global geo-politics

National security remains grim for India with China in a military expansion mode on land and sea borders & Pakistan stoking internal fires in J&K and Punjab.

Updated on: Apr 1, 2023, 10:46:41 IST
By , New Delhi
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Prime Minister Narendra Modi today will address the Combined Commanders Conference at Bhopal even as the military posture of India’s principal adversaries—China and Pakistan—has recorded no positive change on the borders. The meeting will be attended by all tri-service commanders of the rank of commander-in-chiefs with Chief of Defence Staff Gen Anil Chauhan leading the military show.

File photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Indian troops in Jammu and Kashmir
File photo of Prime Minister Narendra Modi with Indian troops in Jammu and Kashmir

While PM Modi will emphasize on “Aatmanirbhar Bharat” or “Make in India” concept to promote the indigenization of hardware, he is expected to draw the attention of military commanders on the rapidly changing geo-politics in the world in wake of rapid military-economic rise of China. That the Indian defence exports have jumped ten-fold from 2016-2017 to 15,920 crore is a positive marker for the “Make in India” initiative.

In the past two days, the military commanders under the leadership of Defence Minister Rajnath Singh and CDS Gen Chauhan have debated about future wars, the Agniveer scheme and the impact of social media on the Indian military.

Although PM Modi will urge the armed forces to attain operational synergy in light of the impending military theatre commands, he will ask the forces to remain prepared as there is no positive change on either the Indian land borders or the Indo-Pacific.

The situation along the 3488 km Line of Actual Control (LAC) remains tense with the PLA deploying additional reserve forces in the Eastern Sector before the start of the 20th National Party Congress of the Communist Party of China. There has been disengagement of troops from the friction points in East Ladakh post-PLA May 2020 aggression but there has been no de-escalation of forces with PLA continuing to deploy three heavy combined armed brigades (with armor element) along the 1597 km long East Ladakh LAC. There continues to be friction over PLA hindering Indian Army's right to patrol its border in Depsang Plains in the Daulet Beg Oldi sector and the Charding Ninlung Nullah (CNN) junction in the Demchok sector with the Indian side still waiting for confirmation of the next round of senior military commanders dialogue.

The military situation on India’s western front is on a wait-and-watch mode as Pakistan, despite being in a serious political and economic mess, has not let down its posture with its deep state continuing to stoke internal fires in Punjab and Jammu and Kashmir through overground separatist workers. The only positive aspect is that the ceasefire is holding in Jammu and Kashmir but that it also works to the advantage of the Pakistan Army as it is being stretched by the Taliban on its western front.

With the rapid expansion of the PLA Navy and its forays into the Indian Ocean, the Indian Navy will also be on its toes as the Indo-Pacific theatre could erupt at any time as the threat of Taiwan is clear and present from Xi Jinping's regime. As the PLA Navy is investing heavily in nuclear-powered conventionally armed submarines, the time has come for Indian national security planners to counter this challenge as the nuclear ballistic missile firing submarines have only deterrent value in real terms. The time has come for the Indian military to innovate with new plans and strategies as equations are changing with old allies and new friends.

  • Shishir Gupta
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Shishir Gupta

    Shishir Gupta is Executive Editor at Hindustan Times and one of India's top journalists covering national security, strategic affairs, foreign policy and geopolitics. Over the past three decades, he has extensively reported on India's military, diplomatic and security landscape, covering every major conflict and national security challenge, from the 1999 Kargil War and the 2020 East Ladakh standoff to Operation Sindoor in 2025. He has also covered major terror attacks, including the IC-814 hijacking, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks and the 2025 Pahalgam terror strike, along with numerous Pakistan-backed terrorist incidents in the Kashmir Valley and across India. He has reported on national and state elections for more than three decades. A recognised authority on strategic affairs, Gupta has covered India's nuclear programme since the Pokhran-II (Shakti series) tests in May 1998 and has written extensively on global nuclear issues, Indian diplomacy and the country's expanding global outreach. He has also reported widely on international conflicts and terrorism, with a special focus on the Indian subcontinent. Gupta has interviewed Prime Minister Narendra Modi more than four times, including Modi's first interview with the print media after becoming Prime Minister in May 2014. His other interviews include three with the Dalai Lama, as well as conversations with Benjamin Netanyahu, Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath, S. Jaishankar, Nirmala Sitharaman and Piyush Goyal. He is the author of Indian Mujahideen: The Enemy Within (Hachette, 2011) and Himalayan Face-off: Chinese Assertion and Indian Riposte (Hachette, 2014). He was awarded the Chevening-Wolfson Joint Scholarship at Wolfson College, University of Cambridge, UK, in 1998 and participated in the International Visitor Leadership Program (IVLP) of the US State Department in 2006. He received the Ben Gurion Prize from Israel in 2011 and the K. Subrahmanyam Prize for Strategic Studies in 2015 from the Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (MP-IDSA). Since 2024, he has hosted Point Blank, Hindustan Times' weekly YouTube show on global geopolitics.Read More

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