Could Lithuania really be forced to surrender in just 90 days without a single soldier crossing its border? A controversial war-game scenario by the Baltic Defense Initiative has triggered intense debate across defense and intelligence circles, painting a chilling picture of modern hybrid warfare. The study suggests that future conflicts may no longer depend on traditional invasions, but instead on sustained missile strikes, drone swarms, and systematic infrastructure collapse designed to overwhelm a nation’s ability to function. In this scenario, even NATO members could face pressure through stand-off attacks alone, raising questions about deterrence, resilience, and the future of European security.
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