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Punjab exit polls predict close fight between Congress and AAP, SAD-BJP seen decimated

The ruling Akali Dal-BJP alliance in Punjab is facing a crushing defeat according to the two exit polls predicted on Thursday, but were divided on whether the Congress or the Aam Aadmi Party would form the next government.

Updated on: Mar 12, 2017, 19:18:54 IST
Hindustan Times, New Delhi | By
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The ruling Shiromani Akali Dal-Bharatiya Janata Party alliance was headed for a drubbing in the Punjab assembly elections, exit polls said on Thursday but were split over who would form the next government in the border state.

The Aam Aadmi Party’s Arvind Kejriwal and Congress’ chief ministerial candidate Capt Amarinder Singh. Exit polls show the two paries running neck and neck in the state’s assembly election. (HT File Photos)
The Aam Aadmi Party’s Arvind Kejriwal and Congress’ chief ministerial candidate Capt Amarinder Singh. Exit polls show the two paries running neck and neck in the state’s assembly election. (HT File Photos)

Two exit polls said the fight would come down to the wire between the Congress – which is fighting to come back to power after a decade – and the Aam Aadmi Party, which is contesting its first assembly election in the state. A third poll gave a clear majority to the Congress while a fourth to the AAP.

But all four polls agreed that the ruling alliance would be likely down to single digits down from 68 in the 2012 elections.

The India Today-Axis exit poll forecast 62- 71 seats for the Congress , 42-51 for the AAP and 4-7 for the SAD-BJP.

The NewsX-MRC poll gave the Akali-BJP combine seven seats, while the Congress and the AAP were predicted to get 55 seats each.

The Punjab assembly has 117 seats and the halfway mark is 59. Official results are out on March 11.

Read | Exit polls: BJP maybe single-largest party in UP assembly elections

The News24-Chanakya poll announced the Congress and AAP would win 54 seats each and the ruling alliance nine.

The IndiaTV-CVoter poll predicted 59-67 seats for the AAP and 41-49 for the Congress.

The state saw an unprecedented three-cornered contest for the first time between the Akali Dal-BJP combine, the Congress and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP).

Exit polls have frequently gone wrong in the past, including in Bihar and Delhi in 2015.

For full coverage of Punjab assembly elections, click here.

  • Dhrubo Jyoti
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Dhrubo Jyoti

    Dhrubo Jyoti is Deputy Executive Editor at Hindustan Times, where they help oversee the newspaper’s daily news and opinion coverage. They are part of the leadership team of the newspaper and their daily responsibilities include news selection, commissioning and editing, apart from planning and executing special projects. Apart from this, they write on national affairs at the intersection of caste and sexuality, with a focus on elections, politics and the lifeworlds of the caste marginalised. Formally trained in physics from St. Xavier’s College, Kolkata and Bose Institute, Kolkata, they made a switch to studying journalism from the Asian College of Journalism in Chennai. Over the past decade at Hindustan Times, they have worked at the National Desk, Page 1 team, Integrated Copy Desk and Special Stories Team, before running the opinion page as views editor for two years, and then moving back as Senior Editor of News Operations. In the past 12 years, they have reported on numerous national and state elections, specialising on caste-informed coverage of major moments in India’s history, and focussing on leading investigations into government accountability and social inequities. Their narrative non-fiction work aims to put Dalit voices at the core of India’s LGBTQIA+ movements.Read More