India’s population will be 25% more than that of China by 2050, says study

Population Reference Bureau figures show that, at the moment, the Indian and Chinese populations are estimated to be 1.37 and 1.39 billion respectively.

By mid-2030, India’s population will likely be 8% more than that of China, and by mid-2050, this ‘lead’ will become 25%, according to the 2018 World Population Data Sheet released by the Population Reference Bureau (PRB), a Washington-based non-profit organisation.

According to Population Reference Bureau estimates, the compound annual growth rate of India’s population between mid-2018 to mid-2030 is likely to be 0.93%, and come down to 0.46% between 2030 and 2050. (AP file photo)

The PRB figures show that, at the moment, the Indian and Chinese populations are estimated to be 1.37 and 1.39 billion respectively. While India’s population is expected to reach 1.53 and 1.68 billion by mid-2030 and mid-2050, China’s is likely to reach 1.42 billion by mid-2030 and then fall to 1.34 billion by mid-2050.

That India will replace China as the world’s most populous country does not mean that its demographic transition is not happening.