Roshan Kishore is the Data and Political Economy Editor at Hindustan Times. His weekly column for HT Premium Terms of Trade appears every Friday.
Articles by Roshan Kishore
Can an elite-subaltern dialogue save the cause of secularism in India?
BJP’s current crop of leaders must be grateful to their predecessors for realising that the project of building a Hindu society had to be more representative
Published on May 17, 2024 09:21 PM IST
Number Theory: Can BJP pull off a massive win in Uttar Pradesh again?
Every election is a new test, and opposition alliances have been shifting continuously in Uttar Pradesh since 2014.
Published on May 17, 2024 08:55 AM IST
Number Theory: Why Maharashtra’s electoral math is complicated
If the BJP got 30% of their combined votes, the BJP alliance would win 22 parliamentary constituencies in the state.
Published on May 16, 2024 08:59 AM IST
HT Explains: A 5-point FAQ on the Lok Sabha battle in Bihar
Bihar will play an important role in determining whether the BJP and the NDA retain their 2019 parliamentary strength nationally
Updated on May 16, 2024 07:30 AM IST
Number Theory: The JD(U) risk to the NDA in Bihar
How much will the JD(U) matter for the NDA’s performance in Bihar in these elections? Here are three charts which answer this question
Updated on May 15, 2024 09:29 AM IST
Number Theory: Will Madhya Pradesh be a landslide for BJP once again?
In 2023 Madhya Pradesh assembly elections, BJP won a massive victory against Congress. Is BJP all set to replicate its victory in 2024 Lok Sabha elections?
Published on May 11, 2024 08:58 PM IST
Terms of Trade | What explains the BJP’s polarising campaign in these elections?
Whether the leadership succumbs to the temptation of using authoritarian tricks to push for dominance has been the central question in Indian democracy
Published on May 10, 2024 08:30 AM IST
Number Theory: In Maharashtra, how BJP traded uncertainty for influence
The problem for the both the BJP and every other party in the state is that nobody knows how much support the NCP and Shiv Sena have with the factions.
Published on May 08, 2024 08:40 AM IST
Number Theory: How BJP has changed Assam's political game
The Congress alliance’s seat share fell to just 21.4% in 2019 despite its vote share remaining relatively flat at 35.7%.
Published on May 03, 2024 09:37 AM IST
Number Theory: Regional dynamics in West Bengal politics
Even a small swing of voters from the TMC to BJP in Burdwan and Junglemahal sub-regions could help the BJP reclaim its 2019 advantage in these two regions.
Updated on May 02, 2024 08:51 AM IST
Number Theory: Will caste-based redistribution pitch have political traction-II
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Updated on Apr 30, 2024 04:59 PM IST
The larger implications of ‘nationalisation’ of class struggle in India
The roots of BJP’s dominance in Indian politics need to be located in welfare replacing every other kind of class politics on the ground.
Published on Apr 30, 2024 08:00 AM IST
Number Theory: Will caste-based redistribution pitch have political traction-I
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Updated on Apr 29, 2024 07:17 PM IST
Number Theory: How socially representative is Bihar’s candidature?
The data shows that the NDA has a bigger share of candidates from upper castes (Rajput, Bhumihar, Kayasth and Brahmin) and EBCs than the INDIA block.
Published on Apr 25, 2024 02:16 PM IST
Number Theory: Can BJP repeat its 2014 and 2019 clean sweep in Rajasthan?
NDA’s median victory margin in Rajasthan in 2019 was 25.2% of the vote share, which is two percentage points higher than its median victory margin in 2014.
Published on Apr 25, 2024 08:56 AM IST
Terms of Trade | Fighting communalism requires politics, not moral indignation
Rewards of communal politics for BJP need to be understood in historical context and current social contradictions rather than condemning it on ethical grounds
Published on Apr 23, 2024 05:02 PM IST
Number Theory: Is Congress's political predicament tactical?
If Congress has to surge past BJP or even close gap in the 2024 polls, it needs to win at least some seats where BJP has been defeating it in a direct contest.
Published on Apr 20, 2024 10:44 AM IST
Will the 2024 polls be a watershed or inconsequential for India’s democracy?
Is the BJP’s dominance only generating unease among the political elite outside the BJP’s fold rather than the people at large?
Published on Apr 16, 2024 06:24 PM IST
Terms of Trade | Indian liberals are having a Hillary Clinton moment
Rather than call BJP supporters bigoted, and imagine a progressive voter base for the opposition, we need to understand the complex nature of Indian politics
Updated on Apr 13, 2024 10:35 AM IST
Number Theory: Can inflation elephant go back to the jungle?
While the non-food inflation elephant has returned to the jungle (RBI’s target), it is the food inflation elephant which is still outside it.
Published on Apr 08, 2024 08:35 AM IST
Number Theory: How do first and second Modi govts compare in economic sentiment?
The findings of the March round of CCS allow us to measure consumer sentiment under the first and second Modi government
Updated on Apr 06, 2024 11:02 AM IST
RBI retains inflation, growth path in MPC
Governor's elephant analogy hints at possible future interest rate cut by RBI, despite maintaining unchanged policy rate at 6.5% to curb inflation.
Updated on Apr 06, 2024 12:50 AM IST
Roshan Kishore, New Delhi
Terms of Trade | What critique of BJP gets wrong about Indian democracy
Arguments on democratic backsliding in India focus less on the concentration of power, as it should, and instead on the behaviour of the political elite
Published on Apr 05, 2024 06:50 PM IST
What explains the disconnect between economic inequality and politics in India?
The World Inequality Lab's report on India's inequality has stirred debate. But a more interesting question is the muting of inequality as a factor in politics.
Updated on Mar 29, 2024 04:17 PM IST
Number Theory: 3 variants of BJP’s 2024 alliance playbook
A careful analysis of the BJP’s 2024 tactics suggests a mix of absolute confidence, calculated risks, and extreme risk-aversion.
Published on Mar 27, 2024 09:02 AM IST
Number Theory: More takeaways from matching of donors, parties for EB funding
Here are a few more interesting data points from the electoral bond data published so far
Updated on Mar 22, 2024 06:59 PM IST
Terms of Trade | Transparency is overrated in realpolitik in India
The fight for political transparency is important for India's institutions, but transparency is not the driving factor when it comes to political hegemony
Published on Mar 22, 2024 03:52 PM IST
Number Theory: Four questions which will define the 2024 elections
Here are four charts that describe the four questions the results of this election will answer.
Updated on Mar 17, 2024 06:35 AM IST