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Lok Sabha elections 2019: Saffron surge may drown oppn coalition in Bihar

Today’s Chanakya and India TV-CNX said that of the 40 seats, the National democratic Alliance led by the BJP could win 32

Updated on: May 20, 2019, 07:54:27 IST
New Delhi | By
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One state on which all exit polls agree is Bihar. All predict a complete sweep for chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and their allies over the Mahagatbandhan led by the Rasjtriya Janata Dal and the Congress.

One state on which all exit polls agree is Bihar. All  predict a complete sweep for chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and their allies over the Mahagatbandhan led by the Rasjtriya Janata Dal and the Congress. (Samir Jana/HT Photo)
One state on which all exit polls agree is Bihar. All predict a complete sweep for chief minister Nitish Kumar’s Janata Dal (United), the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and their allies over the Mahagatbandhan led by the Rasjtriya Janata Dal and the Congress. (Samir Jana/HT Photo)

News24-Today’s Chanakya and India TV-CNX said, of the 40 seats, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) could win 32. ABP News-Nielsen, which gave among the lowest numbers to the BJP and the NDA at the national level, expected the alliance to win 34 in the state. The India Today-Axis poll had the best news for the NDA, and said it could win all but two of the seats.

If the numbers hold, they will be a major relief for the state’s ruling BJP-JD(U) alliance. There has been speculation that the JD(U) (which fought as many seats as the BJP, 17) could have caused some losses to the alliance although leaders have been banking on the popularity of Prime Minister Narendra Modi.

“ We respect the numbers... Although results will come on May 23, the numbers projected for the NDA clearly show that the people of India have voted for the nation and nationalism. We are confident the NDA will cross the 350 mark,” said Ajay Alok, JD(U) spokesperson.

“The projections of the exit polls give a clear mandate to the NDA as an endorsement of PM Modi’s policies on national security and development,” said BJP spokesperson Nikhil Anand.

If they hold, the numbers could prove a major setback to former deputy chief minister Tejaswi Yadav, who led the RJD into the election in the absence of his father Lalu Prasad who is in jail. The JD(U) and the RJD fought the 2015 state elections together, and won against the BJP, but the JD(U) dumped the RJD last year in favour of the BJP. The RJD was hoping that move could hurt the NDA, but the exit polls suggest it hasn’t.

“While we have huge doubts about the all-India figures allocated to BJP/NDA, I am baffled by the Bihar numbers for our alliance. We can only affirm with conviction that these pollsters shall be proved wrong again as was the case in the 2015 assembly elections,’’ said RJD’s Manoj Jha.

Bihar Congress spokesperson Harkhu Jha dismissed the surveys, saying, “Ours (our polls) have the assessment based on the field workers’ feedback, which clearly states that the Congress would do considerably well.”

Here is a look at the numbers:

BIHAR
Arrah Rajkumar Singh, BJP
Buxar Ashwini Kumar Choubey, BJP
Sasaram Chhedi Paswan, BJP
Karakat Upendra Kushwaha, RLSP
Jahanabad Arun Kumar, Rashtriya Lok Samta Party
Nalanda Kaushalendra Kumar, JD(U)
Patna Sahib Shatrughan Sinha, BJP (now with Congress)
Patliputra Ram Kripal Yadav, BJP
PUNJAB
Amritsar: Gurjeet Singh Aujla, Congress
Anandpur Sahib Prem Singh Chandumajra, SAD
Bathinda Harsimrat Kaur, SAD
Faridkot (SC) Sadhu Singh, AAP
Fatehgarh Sahib (SC) Harinder Singh Khalsa, AAP
Ferozepur Sher Singh Ghubaya, SAD
Gurdaspur Sunil Jakhar, Congress
Hoshiarpur (SC) Vijay Sampla, BJP
Jalandhar (SC) Santokh Singh Chaudhary, Congress
Khadoor Sahib Ranjit Singh Brahmpura, SAD (SAD-Taksali)
Ludhiana Ravneet Singh Bittu, Congress
Patiala Dharamvira Gandhi, AAP
Sangrur Bhagwant Mann, AAP
CHANDIGARH
Chandigarh Kirron Kher, BJP
HIMACHAL PRADESH
Kangra Shanta Kumar, BJP
Hamirpur Anurag Thakur, BJP
Mandi Ramswaroop Sharma, BJP
Shimla Virender Kashyap, BJP
JHARKHAND
Godda Nishikant Dubey, BJP
Dumka Shibu Soren, JMM
Rajmahal Vijay Hansdak, JM
UTTAR PRADESH
Ballia Bharat Singh, BJP
Bansgaon Kamlesh Paswan, BJP
Chandauli Mahendra Nath Pandey, BJP
Deoria Kalraj Mishra, BJP
Ghazipur Manoj Sinha, BJP
Ghosi Harinarayan Rajbhar, BJP
Gorakhpur Praveen Kumar Nishad, SP
Kushi Nagar Rajesh Pandey, BJP
Robertsganj Chhotelal, BJP
Salempur Ravindra Kushwaha, BJP
Varanasi Narendra Modi, BJP
Mirzapur Anupriya Patel, Apna Dal
Maharajganj Pankaj Chaudhary, BJP
MADHYA PRADESH (8)
Dewas Manohar Untwal, BJP
Dhar Savitri Thakur, BJP
Indore Sumitra Mahajan (BJP)
Khandwa Nandkumar Singh Chouhan (BJP)
Khargone Subhash Patel, BJP
Mandsaur Sudhir Gupta, BJP
Ratlam Kantilal Bhuria, Congress
Ujjain Prof Chintamani Malviya, BJP
WEST BENGAL
Barasat Kakali Ghosh Dastidar, Trinamool
Basirhat Idris Ali, Trinamool Congress
Joynagar Pratima Mondal, Trinamool Congress
Mathurapur Choudhury Mohan Jatua, Trinamool Congress
Diamond Harbour Abhishek Banerjee, Trinamool Congress
Kolkata South Subrata Bakshi, Trinamool Congress
Jadavpur Sugata Bose, Trinamool Congress
Kolkata North Sudip Bandyopadhyay, Trinamool Congress
Dumdum Saugata Roy, Trinamool Congress